« previous | MUCK HOME | next »

Today's Must Read

Bush officials are finally coming to grips with reality in Iraq. Circa 2003.

As The Washington Post reported Sunday, it's out with ideological purity, and in with "a sense of reality," as the administration tries to undo the many errors made handling Iraq's reconstruction (privatizing state factories, de-Baathification, etc.).

The piece focuses on one Timothy Carney, exactly the sort of battle seasoned, quick thinking, feet-firm-on-the-ground type you'd want helping with reconstruction, and who left his senior post in disgust only a few months after the U.S. took over in 2003.

Why? For instance:

"This is a big mistake," Carney thought in May 2003, when Bremer told senior CPA officials that he would soon issue an edict prohibiting many former members of Hussein's Baath Party from holding government jobs....

From the moment the order was issued, most of Carney's time was devoted to de-Baathification. He held long meetings with the industry ministry's management, first to explain the policy and then to comb through records to identify people who were ineligible for future employment.

"It was a terrible waste of time," Carney said. "There were so many more important things we should have been doing, like starting factories and paying salaries."

After a few months, the CPA began to receive reports that 10,000 to 15,000 teachers had been fired because of the de-Baathification order. In some Sunni-dominated areas, entire schools were left with just one or two teachers.

Now Carney has been tapped to help roll back those efforts (setting up a clash with Iraq de-Baathification kingpin Ahmad Chalabi) and, as the new Iraqi reconstruction czar, do what he wished he could have done four years ago.


36 Comments

| Leave a comment
user-pic

If only there had been SOME warning in 2003 that our policies would turn out to be so disasterous. Who could have possibly known?

user-pic

BushCo people are so fucking stupid it's amazing they are able to dress themselves in the morning.

user-pic

Are there any other countries who have suffered under one-party rule, and have the members of that party purged from government or public-sector jobs? Which country could that be?

user-pic

Who would have known that our policies would be so disastrous? At least half of the entire population of the world knew that everything we were doing there was a big, huge mistake.

user-pic

De-Baathification shows the limitation of historical analogies. As I recall, it was based on the de-Nazification program the allies led after the war. But the two situations weren't parallel.

user-pic

DEE DEE DEE!!!!

user-pic

While it's a definite change that Bush is attempting to do what he should have done in 2003, I don't believe for a second that he has or ever will undercut Chalabi.

They are, after all, brothers bonded by a common love for the petrodollar at any cost. And I suspect he could not undercut the crook without risk that Chalabi could reveal a few Bush skeletons from their very dark closet.

user-pic

BushCo people are so fucking stupid it's amazing they are able to dress themselves in the morning.
Posted by: BethesdaBob
Date: January 15, 2007 09:52 AM

Without having seen one of them do so, I wouldn't even give them that much credit.

user-pic

MP: You are correct in that de-Baathification was born from post WWII actions.

Here is a pretty well written article on the post invasion time frame:

Baghdad Year Zero
Pillaging Iraq in pursuit of a neocon utopia
Posted on Friday, September 24, 2004. Originally from Harper's Magazine, September 2004. By Naomi Klein.

http://www.harpers.org/BaghdadYearZero.html


....As the British historian Dilip Hiro has shown, in Secrets and Lies: Operation ‘Iraqi Freedom’ and After, the Iraqi exiles pushing for the invasion were divided, broadly, into two camps. On one side were “the pragmatists,” who favored getting rid of Saddam and his immediate entourage, securing access to oil, and slowly introducing free-market reforms. Many of these exiles were part of the State Department's Future of Iraq Project, which generated a thirteen-volume report on how to restore basic services and transition to democracy after the war. On the other side was the “Year Zero” camp, those who believed that Iraq was so contaminated that it needed to be rubbed out and remade from scratch. The prime advocate of the pragmatic approach was Iyad Allawi, a former high-level Baathist who fell out with Saddam and started working for the CIA. The prime advocate of the Year Zero approach was Ahmad Chalabi, whose hatred of the Iraqi state for expropriating his family's assets during the 1958 revolution ran so deep he longed to see the entire country burned to the ground—everything, that is, but the Oil Ministry, which would be the nucleus of the new Iraq, the cluster of cells from which an entire nation would grow. He called this process “de-Baathification.” snip...

user-pic

I keep wondering if things anen't going just as Bush and Co. would like. So many of their core constituents make their living off war or at least do better in times of instability.

user-pic

Has anyone asked if Bremer knows what has happened to the missing money? And what has happened to Bremer?

user-pic

if their goal were to promote anarchy, we would call it a success
if their goal were to create insurgents against us, again, success
if their goal were to start a war without end, much success
if their goal was to loot the treasury of the US, big success
if their goal was to put the citizens of each country in debt forever
success

so who can say they aren't doing exactly what they want?

wonder who the next shah of iran will be?

user-pic

You wonder if they have even the remotest idea of how governments work - or it may be even worse. I don't think they know what "work" is. You could see the surprise on Bush's face when he figured out that his administration was supposed to do something to help after Katrina. We couldn't see the day-to-day in Iraq, but those who could see have written some incriminating books. Bush has always had a coterie of family retainers to fix up his messes; but he didn't even understand that you're not supposed to fire the folks who are there to clean up after you.

user-pic

"BushCo people are so fucking stupid it's amazing they are able to dress themselves in the morning.
Posted by: BethesdaBob"

Interestingly enough, I seem to recall a photo showing Bush with his shirt buttoned up asymmetrically...

So maybe they can't.

user-pic

This was covered on Frontline a while back.
http://snipurl.com/17k15
I do really not understand why everyone keeps acting like all knowledge of the failures are recent revelations.
First, did no one in the "think tanks" that supported and pushed this phony war consider that the Iraqi Shiite majority would naturally gravitate to Iran, the only Shiite state in the world?
"De-Baathifying" the army = forced unemployment of 1,000's of armed men who needed to feed their families and who generally were Baathists b/c of this need. Bremer was criminally incompetent.
Iran wins by geography - America can continue to escalate, to run in circles to keep itself in the middle of a civil war, which no occupying power in history has ever quieted.
When American forces eventually withdraw Iran will still be Iraq's next-door neighbor. The Sunni Baathists will look for help from Syria, a Sunni Baathist government. All of this information was there before the war and it will remain after the American troops are gone.
Anyone can get this information easily yet the Wise Old Men of Washington are still acting dumbfounded that their adolescent war fantasies have become such a debacle. Duh.

user-pic

If the long term goal was to destabilize and undermine the government, the culture, the economy, and any semblance of social stability, then this makes perfect sense. Imagine Iraq in ten years - Multinational raiders exploiting the oil wealth under military protection of the puppet government forces. Undereducated labor force provided by the poverty devastated masses of the next generation Iraqi youth - unaware that their ancestors provided the basis for civilization as we know it. Strict fundementalist churches providing what little spiritual guidance we allow, and fighting among themselves while authorities look on disinterested.

Mission accomplished.

user-pic

From the inspiration of your post, Paul, I revisited some archives that I think add a lot of perspective to the new way forward and why it was ignored for four long years.

user-pic

This is not really a surprise. Jay Garner's people thought de-Baathification was stupid, and presumably Carney's just another person of the "Colin-Powell-good-soldier" variety who consciously mid-wifed Iraq into chaos.

It's still ultimately Bush's fault, but here's yet another example of Edmond Burke's warning about what happens when good people do nothing.

user-pic

echoing SOS and lutarious
all this hand wringing and discourse about iraqification is for public political consumption
of course they (not Bushkin) knew/anticipated (not in exact deatil of course)
the point is a permanent base against the arab enemies of israel and control of oil resources as we rush head long to the end of oil
they cannot talk about that of course
they are now moving to crush sunni opposition (leaving the shia problem to the shia government which will continue to do nothing)
a thousand or so US deaths/year would likely be seen as acceptable and probably manageable domestically as long as the anti-something crusade can be sustained (now increasingly focusing on iran)
a shia state in iraq could be managed with a significant US army there
and turkey's help as they come in against the kurds in northern iraq and northwestern iran

$120/barrel oil only means bigger profits

user-pic

And still the lies keep flowing. Bush told CBS last night that the Iraqi people should be grateful that he invaded their country! That's obscene so NPR's not playing that quote over & over ever 30 minutes today, but yesterday, when he told the Dems to go jump. NPR repeated that propaganda line all day long.

user-pic

What amazes me is Carney's assertion that Bremer beleived the classic conservative thinking that jobs and paychecks are something that is not absolutely critical to a functioning society.

That stability and security for the average Iraqi was put below Chalabi's wet-dream of revenge is... well.... shocking. (And it is getting damn hard to shock me about Iraq these days.)

user-pic

I'm starting to think we should find some way to cut to the finish. Bush ought to try to get Syria (with Saudi and Egyptian backing) and Iran to take over the occupation. Syria can wall off the Sunnis for their protection and Iran the Shia. Let them spend their lives and treasure trying to make Iraqis get along. What's the worst that could happen? They'd succeed? Well Muslims need a few accompishments they can all be proud of. Pacifying Iraq where the mighy USA failed is better than building nukes any day.

If they failed we'd have Iran and Syria fighting an expensive proxy war or real war against each other in Iraq. Not good, but it's better than having our soldiers driving around waiting to get blown up or surging more in to kick down doors. I doubt Ahmadinejad and Assad and their armies will do a much better job at winning hearts and minds.
Either way it keeps them all busy.

The problem is if Bush proposes it nobody'd go for it. Frankly Iraq is such a mess only fools would try. But who knows? We could try to moonwalk out while issuing repeated feckless threats to Syria and Iran to not even think about it. Maybe even leave billions of dollars worth of shiny new oil field equipment spares lying around as an enticement for the Iranians. Hell the Syrians might jump in just to corner the market on those delicious Iraqi sheep. A few months of Bush demanding hands off his briar patch and the Weekly Standard idiots writing doomsday scenarios for the west if the Arabs and Persians come in might do the trick.

What do we have to lose? That seems to be the end game anyway.

user-pic

Iraq did not work out the way the politicians had hoped, but make no mistake, history will record the Iraq adventure a victory for the political and corporate elites in America, if not for the administration of George W. Bush.
The oil companies are building a huge, multi-billion dollar refinery in Kurdish Iraq. When completed, it will be in position to exploit the vast Southern oil fields—second largest in the world after Saudi Arabia. Meanwhile, the Shiite controlled Iraqi 'Government' is on the eve of passing legislation that will turn state-controlled oil extraction over to the big five Western petroleum conglomerates in exchange for decent royalties. Hence the permanent bases (and the world's largest U.S. Embassy at $500 billion and counting).
Our tacit approval of the ongoing destruction of the Sunnis in Baghdad indicates that Bush will go with the 80 percent solution—observe the adminisration’s muted response to the world’s outrage over the way the hangings took place. We will let the majority Shites consolidate power (except in Kurdistan) and hope for the best. After the “surge”, in six months or a year, our troops will hunker down in their bases and come out only to put down any incidents that get out of hand. The plan is for the Sunnis to retreat to the barren northwest—outvoted, outgunned, and penned in. Those who won’t leave Baghdad and other dedicated Shiite areas will be pushed out, one way or another. From a power projection standpoint, under 100,000 American troops will secure the Southern oil fields for the Shiites while the refining operation is run by the corporations. Everybody (almost) wins. We can also point something out to Syria and Iran: Don't mess with us or we will turn you into Iraq.
To our political elites and military/industrial folks, this is a real victory. Who suffers and who gains? It may seem crass, but the fact that a bunch of Muslims are dead, maimed, hungry, sick, or just FU does not evoke much sympathy in the US. Centrist Democrats will be tacitly behind this plan, so there is good bipartisan support for continuing, on some level, in Iraq for the long haul (cf. Hillary’s ongoing refusal to demand the troops come home now). The plan has some long term risk but very good potential for reward. After we return to our bases and draw down the troops to 60,000 to 80,000, Iraq will disappear from the headlines the same way Afghansistan has. Iraqi “infighting” (don’t call it civil war when 80% of the population is fighting 20%) will be downplayed, and the Sunnis marginalized. A sort of honorable “victory” will have been eked out, possibly in time for the next presidential election, but more likely early in next president’s term (which is why centrist Dems are on board).
The point is this: there is no way that the US military will be leaving Iraq in the forseeable future, so get over it. All our politicians have to do to ensure voter apathy on the subject is to make sure the casualties are reduced to 10 or 20 a month, like Afghanistan, and we can go on like this forever.
The bottom line: we pay a hundred billion or so a year in military infrastructure to secure delivery of $2.00 - $2.50/gallon gas. Messers. Bush and Cheney's adventure represents only a 1 percent “tax” on the economy. In return, the river of cheap oil keeps the machinery of our profligate country running smoothly, the environment rapidly warming, and the American people fat and happy. This is how the “neo-realists” think.

user-pic

I was in the process of writing these same thoughts when I came across your response and thought...exactly right. So if it's dawning on me and then I read it in your comment I feel hopeful that somehow in the collective unconscious these thoughts are being made manifest in the consciousness of all americans because truth has its own ring to it and this rings out loud and clear. Thanks for the post Mike Haitch. I will be forwarding it to many.

user-pic

You have a lot of faith in the capabilities of the Bush administration Mike Haitch. That Kurdish refinery will probably be supplied by the oil from up there. The Kurdish fields make up 45% of Iraq's oil, are much sweeter and not nearly as played out. A number of the wells in the South are damaged from Saddam's frenzied efforts at water injection to pump more oil in the year before the invasion. Of course then we have the issue of pipeline protection.

user-pic

If Bush could imagine Saddam Hussein obtaining nuclear weapons why couldn't he imagine the possibility that his Iraq policy was wrong and woudn't work?

user-pic

hello

user-pic

hello

user-pic

hello

user-pic

London-born rapper Sway is to be honoured at the BET Hip-Hop awards in the US...

user-pic

London-born rapper Sway is to be honoured at the BET Hip-Hop awards in the US...

user-pic

Madonna says she may adopt another child from abroad following her proposed adoption of a Malawian boy...

user-pic

Veteran game show host Bob Barker is stepping down from hosting The Price is Right after 35 years.

user-pic

Veteran game show host Bob Barker is stepping down from hosting The Price is Right after 35 years.

user-pic

Veteran game show host Bob Barker is stepping down from hosting The Price is Right after 35 years.

Leave a comment

Tag Cloud

Advertise Liberally
Share
Close Social Web Email

"To" Email Address

Your Name

Your Email Address