« previous | MUCK HOME | next »
Today's Must Read
Finally, after weeks of delay, and presumably after it was made to "focus on the facts" and scrubbed once again by intelligence analysts, the administration's big slideshow on Iran's military ties to Iraqi insurgents was unveiled Sunday in Baghdad.
The PowerPoint presentation had a central purpose -- to prove that the most dangerous form of explosive being used against U.S. troops in Iraq, called explosively formed penetrators or E.F.P.s, were of Iranian manufacture. Roughly 170 (of the more than 3105) American casualities in Iraq were caused by EFPs, the briefers said. Serial numbers on the explosives were cited as the main piece of evidence linking the explosives to Iran.
The briefing took off from there:
The officials also asserted, without providing direct evidence, that Iranian leaders had authorized smuggling those weapons into Iraq for use against the Americans.... “We have been able to determine that this material, especially on the E.F.P. level, is coming from the I.R.G.C. - Quds Force,” said the senior defense analyst. That, the analyst said, meant direction for the operation was “coming from the highest levels of the Iranian government.”
And who gave the briefing?
The officials were repeatedly pressed on why they insisted on anonymity in such an important matter affecting the security of American and Iraqi troops. A senior United States military official gave a partial answer, saying that without anonymity, a senior Defense Department analyst who participated in the briefing could not have contributed.
And why now?
“The reason we’re talking about this right now is the vast increase in the number of E.F.P.s being found,” one official said. American-led forces in Iraq, the official said, “are not trying to hype this up to be more than it is.”
Just F.Y.I. And just another day of what Vice President Cheney's national security advisor John Hannah has dubbed “the year of Iran."
Note: The Washington Post reports today that the Army is scrambling to equip Humvees with the necessary armor to withstand EFPs.





From NYT:
"The shells had serial numbers in English in order to comply with international standards for arms, the officials said. One grenade, for instance, was marked with the serial number P.G.7-AT-1 followed by LOT:5-31-2006".
I think it is very nice of the Iranians to comply with international standards when sending illegal weapons into Iraq. Not being familiar with international standards, I am curious as to why the date is in month-day-year form when most of the world uses day-month-year date form.
February 12, 2007 9:35 AM | Reply | Permalink
I don't believe anything we are told about Iraq and/or Iran. NOTHING we have been told either worked or happened. It will be 4 years next month since this clusterf**k war began and we are no closer to achieving a positive result than when the first troops left Kuwait. There is ONLY ONE solution. Remove/re-deploy the troops from Iraq. This is the same bullshit we heard from the White House Iraq group, the CIA the OSP (which worked real well) and the State Department prior to invading Iraq. Which "cabal" is leading the parade this time. Reporters SHOULD NOT use "sources" and demand to use names if they want their reporting to be credible. They aren't supposed to be water carriers but the Libby trial is shooting holes through that premise.
February 12, 2007 9:37 AM | Reply | Permalink
EFPs will take out a tank. Humvees have some armor issues, but nothing you can add to one will cope with the newer weapons and still allow the vehicle to actually move.
February 12, 2007 9:42 AM | Reply | Permalink
So who's going to pull the "Colin Powell at the U.N." this time around?
Anyone credible still around to sacrifice?
February 12, 2007 9:43 AM | Reply | Permalink
lieberman?
February 12, 2007 9:50 AM | Reply | Permalink
If Iran IS supplying weapons used in Iraq, it simply underscores the fact that, for almost 4 years, Bushco has failed to seal Iraqi borders.
February 12, 2007 9:51 AM | Reply | Permalink
The Iranians are also responsible for bad customer service when you call those "800" numbers on the back of your credit card attempting to resolve a problem. That alone should suffice as reason to nuke them. Twice.
February 12, 2007 9:52 AM | Reply | Permalink
I'm sure if you look around any market in Iraq you'll find some serious weaponry from China, Czech Republic, the former Yugoslava, Russia and I bet the US.
Building shaped charges aren't black magic the Baader-Meinhof Group in Germany used one in 89 to kill a banker.
Shaped charges, yellow cake, aluminium tubes - same sh!t different day
February 12, 2007 10:00 AM | Reply | Permalink
I wonder how many IED's you can buy with the missing $12 Billion in cash?
February 12, 2007 10:02 AM | Reply | Permalink
not to mention the story going 'round that private Saudi individuals are sending money to Sunni insurgents, which they are using to buy arms and possibly the weapons which are shooting down our choppers.
But you don't hear any belligerent talk about the Saudis being complicit in killing our troops.
I wonder why that is... I wonder... hmmm...
February 12, 2007 10:03 AM | Reply | Permalink
*Anonymous* US military officials presenting "proof"? How many times have we lapped ourselves on self-parody? I'm getting dizzy. Tragedy and farce have blurred into one amorphous mass.
February 12, 2007 10:04 AM | Reply | Permalink
Pick any nation surrounding Iraq and you will most likely find someone aiding the Iraqi's in getting rid of the American occupiers. Saudi Arabia most likely would be the biggest offender, if that's what one chooses to call it. Yet you don't find bush threatening them. Hell no! Instead you have bush threatening yet another nation that had nothing to do with 9/11 whereas Saudi Arabia did.
Go figure ...
February 12, 2007 10:06 AM | Reply | Permalink
In the meantime, the democrats are still wringing their hands, dancing around and wondering what to do.
Just once, just once, I'd like to see some politicos do the right thing and risk their political careers. Hell, if they did the right thing, they'd be the ones to get re-elected.
You don't have to be a blind conservative not to see it, just an ignorant one to deny it.
February 12, 2007 10:09 AM | Reply | Permalink
You don't have to be a blind conservative not to see it, just an ignorant one to deny it.
is there any other kind of conservative???
Not all conservatives are stupid, but most stupid people are conservatives - John Stuart Mill
February 12, 2007 10:11 AM | Reply | Permalink
This once again smells like the Bush administration is attempting to fit the intelligence around the policy.
Hezbollah, in the recent war in southern Lebanon used weapons of this nature to destroy a number of Israeli tanks. This is just speculation, but my thought is that some of these weapons are now filtering back through Syria and into Iraq. This would at least explain how weapons of Iranian manufacturing could end up in the hands of Sunni insurgents.
It simply doesn't pass the smell test that Iran would be a direct supplier to Sunni insurgents.
February 12, 2007 10:19 AM | Reply | Permalink
Fox News was banging the drum yesterday about it. Just doing their part to prepare the public for the Dark Lord's next adventure
February 12, 2007 10:23 AM | Reply | Permalink
Not to get too obsessed with the kerning here, but today is 23 Bahman 1385 according to the Persian calendar -- though I'm certainly willing to spot the military an assertion that Iran uses Western calendars on their military gear.
Of more importance, I think, is this: if Iran were serious about running a proxy war against the U.S. in Iraq, why not give the Iraqi Shi'a forces access to the same weapons that Hizbullah has -- for example, the AT-5 Spandrel knockoff they make, or the Toophan reverse-engineered TOWs? Not to minimize the danger of IEDs to our troops, but I think that we'd need more for a causus belli than a handful of RPG-7s that made it over a very porous border.
February 12, 2007 10:23 AM | Reply | Permalink
At a bigger picture this all goes in line with the New American Century and maximum use of America's unipolar superpower status to project military foreign policy objective.
Watch there will be incidents that will demand overwhelming response...look to the carrier task force.
February 12, 2007 10:24 AM | Reply | Permalink
The first commenter hit on something big, IMO. The date format is distinctly American, I believe. Doesn't Europe and most of the world list the date differently? Curious to know how it's done in Iran.
February 12, 2007 10:28 AM | Reply | Permalink
Is it time for large-scale civil disobedience?
February 12, 2007 10:32 AM | Reply | Permalink
"The officials were repeatedly pressed on why they insisted on anonymity in such an important matter affecting the security of American and Iraqi troops."
That's probably BS. The anonymity is probably because the thing is a product of the Iranian Directorate, which is a reincarnation of Feith's Office of Special Plans:
*****Current military and former intelligence officials remain concerned about a US-led strike on Iran, despite the recent appearance of diplomacy on the part of the US State Department and the offer of an incentives package to Iran.
...
These officials also add that an as-yet uncompleted ‘Phase II’ investigation into pre-war Iraq intelligence suggests the same problems may recur when addressing Iran. They note that the Pentagon’s Iranian directorate mirrors the so-called Office of Special Plans, which played a major role in feeding intelligence to the President that bolstered a case for war.*****
http://www.rawstory.com/news/2006/Pentagon_confirms_Iranian_directorate_as_intelligence_0615.html
February 12, 2007 10:35 AM | Reply | Permalink
Re: date format....
If you look at the Web site of the Fars News Agency, they use the standard international format - DD/MM/YYYY
http://www.farsnews.com/
Even their English language version uses the international format:
http://www.farsnews.com/English/
So I'm thinking like most of the rest of the world, Iran uses the international format. And since it's highly unlikely they'd ever sell weapons to the US, I just don't understand why they would use the US date format.
Now, I don't think this is a smoking gun that the Pentagon is lying - and in this case and based on past history, I don't need a smoking gun to know that they are lying - but it is very suspect.
I also think that these explosives finding their way to Iraq through Syria (or Jordan or Saudi Arabia) is also a possibility).
February 12, 2007 10:38 AM | Reply | Permalink
I find it had to believe that the Iraqi's has ran out of that 280,000 tons of munitions Rummy allowed them to loot.
February 12, 2007 10:42 AM | Reply | Permalink
Are we sure that the Farsi calender doesn't have 31 months?
It's ridiculous to debate this. We all know that they're lying and that at this time next year we'll be fighting two unwinnable wars.
February 12, 2007 10:42 AM | Reply | Permalink
Oh. My. God. The order of the numbers in the dates, the non-Persian script, the lack of new information, the timing, the anonymity of the briefers, the prohibition on independent recording of the briefing......Even if there had not already been an intelligence fiasco on Iraq, this would be pretty incredible.
You know, what really makes me sick about the briefing is this: if this dog and pony show is the best the Pentagon intel folks can do, our troops who rely on these people for everyday information are really screwed.
February 12, 2007 10:42 AM | Reply | Permalink
Yes, the American date inscription is HIGHLY suspicious.
I think Senator Webb was right on about this. He said when he was in Vietnam, every weapon firing at him was made in Russia or China, but we still negotiated with both countries and didn't hardly bomb them once. And Russian helicopters were getting shot down by American rpgs in Afghanistan, and in fact the weapons we supplied the mujahadeen were directly responsible for the Soviet defeat. They didn't bomb us even once!
That, plus anybody who believes a single word coming from this administration is a fool.
February 12, 2007 10:44 AM | Reply | Permalink
If I had 363 tons of $100 bills, I could obtain some pretty impressive armament, too. To my mind, that is the single biggest act of post-occupation idiocy in this whole stupid-ass "war."
February 12, 2007 10:45 AM | Reply | Permalink
Three unwinnable wars. Lets not forget Afghanistan.
February 12, 2007 10:50 AM | Reply | Permalink
I keep reading that the machining was of "Iranian" type or origin. Since metal is metal, and machine tools these days all seem to come from China, just how is it that they can tell that the EFP's were machined in Iran? Are Iraqis too stupid to run machine shops? If they are, then how did they expect to manufacture those nuclear devices that Bush kept warning us about?
February 12, 2007 10:53 AM | Reply | Permalink
the credibility of this administration is such that if the Pentagon held a news conference to announce that the sun rises in the east, I'd get up early to check for myself.
February 12, 2007 10:55 AM | Reply | Permalink
Some of the weapons, ie the the RPG rounds, are also manufactured in Switzerland and Bulgaria.
http://www.armarbg.com/Category.aspx?id=4b4bb8fa-a961-49c5-b362-e2bbaf8caba7
February 12, 2007 10:56 AM | Reply | Permalink
Why in the world would reporters grant them anonymity? This was a briefing, not an exclusive. This was something the administration wanted to get out to the public. The press held all the cards -- can someone explain why they would agree to those terms? It would have been easy to begin the briefing by saying that anonymity would not be granted, and letting the administration officials make the call. There must be some sort of explanation as to how these things work -- have any ideas? Is it just that no individual reporter wanted to go back to his or her boss and explain why they were the one organization to not get the story?
February 12, 2007 11:00 AM | Reply | Permalink
Here we are four years into the war and troops are still lacking armor for the Humvees. If this were the Clinton Defense Dept, can you just imagine the outrage?!
By the way, where is the outrage?
February 12, 2007 11:02 AM | Reply | Permalink
Ok, so let's say this is all true (even though the layers of anonymous sources and flimsy evidence triggers more warnings than a five-alarm fire).
So what?
Aren't a lot of the insurgents using Russian-made AK-47s? Are we going to invade Russian too?
If roughly 170 troops have been killed, is it worth radicalizing 70 million Muslims, killings hundreds of thousands of innocents, and likely sparking an even wider regional war to stop them? Aren't there other ways to mitigate this danger to our troops? We lost 3,000 people in WTC and DC. So we killed 600,000 innocent civilians, displaced millions more, and radicalized large parts of the region. Aren't we even yet? How much worse do we plan on making this for ourselves?
Someone needs to explain to me how we cannot pull the troops out of Iraq because we'll risk a regional conflagration, but at the same time it's wise to bomb Iran and DEFINITELY set of a regional conflagration because someone, somewhere MAY be sending in some improvised explosives the equals a pebble in the shoe of this catastrophic war.
Not to mention the war in Iraq is between Shia and Sunni. The IEDs are used mostly by Sunni. The Iranians support the Shia. So where is the sense in the BS that the Iranians are suppling arms to the Shiite-dominated Iraqi g'ment enemies? The storylines we are being fed in this run-up to war make even less sense than the ones that got us stuck in Iraq.
February 12, 2007 11:03 AM | Reply | Permalink
According to NPR this morning the Pentagon tried to peddle this stuff in March and September too.
February 12, 2007 11:05 AM | Reply | Permalink
in the name of God
The bigger the lie ,the greater the number of
blivers.
Do you think that only V2 and atomic secrets has
been imported to US from Nazi Germany? Lying in
day light, torturing and a lot of other mischiefs
have also been traded.
You have no need to think about anything,
Jews have done that for you when you
succumb to them(by obeying banks(aka usury houses, performing all kind of sex, and
ridiculing Gods prophets)
You are all slaves of Jews=Satan.
No more words againts their will
February 12, 2007 11:15 AM | Reply | Permalink
This stuff makes less sense than the "intelligence" used to get us into Iraq. The serial numbers are in English and dated the way we date things in the U.S. - unlike the rest of the world. The "officials" who presented this inforation were "anonymous"? Well, hell, if some guy tells me, I have to believe him! Why would the Iranians peddlet this stuff to Sunis - their enemies - who have been responsible for such bombings?
Why would the Iranians have ANY interest in killing Americans in Iraq? The Americans are the ones keeping the Sunis from killing Shi'ia. I do not buy the assertion that Iran simply wants chaos in Iraq and that they want to stir up trouble because they don't like the Americans. It makes sense that they would want a stable but weak neighbor for trade purposes and their own security purposes.
February 12, 2007 11:16 AM | Reply | Permalink
Many of these comments suggest serious consideration, but until Ann Coulter tells me how to think about this situation, I'm obliged to reserve judgment.
February 12, 2007 11:26 AM | Reply | Permalink
As long as we're shouting and pointing fingers at countries supplying arms to other nations, let's not forget to include the U.S.A. as the largest arms supplier in the world, and at the top of that customer list is Israel - who recently deposited who-knows-how-many cluster bombs in Lebanon for innocent civilians to step on.
The pot is once again accusing the kettle of the one who is black.
February 12, 2007 11:28 AM | Reply | Permalink
The only people who believe this isn't spin to justify attacking Iran are the ones putting it out there. Besides the Sunnis are the ones killing us not the Shiahs . Cheney can't even make it make sense. Shiahs killing Americans who are making them stronger by supporting a Shiah dominated government in Iraq. Next these "unidentified sources" will tell us the Sunnis are supplying the Shiahs...'cause everyone wants to get in on killing Americans. Get the idea this country isn't being run by Americans anymore? We see you Cheney/Bush/Rice/Rumsfeld/Gonzalez. You don't represent me or 67% of America. We don't believe you anymore, FEMA camps be damned.
February 12, 2007 2:04 PM | Reply | Permalink
The 170 out of 3105 does raise an interesting question -- where did all the rest of the weapons come from? Al Qa'qaa? Ultimately, from US manufacturers?
I think this would be an excellent question to follow up on, in detail.
February 12, 2007 2:07 PM | Reply | Permalink
"Serial numbers on the explosives were cited as the main piece of evidence linking the explosives (the shaped IED's) to Iran."
This is incorrect. The serial numbers were on mortar shells and other infantry ordinance. So far I can't determine what they claim links the new shaped IED's to Iran, except their statment that they don't believe that Iraqis has the capability to fabricated them. They don't explain why. They also point to a capture of some components (unspecified what they were) for the IED's that were captured while being smuggled from Iran. These IED's seem to consist of a shaped copper warhead, some 6" diameter PVC pipe, and an explosive charge.
February 12, 2007 2:21 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'd be *really* interested in how they tracked these *new* EFPs back to Iran. I never knew that generic "explosives" were clearly labelled with serial numbers.
I recall when the 380 TONNES/TONS of HDX from the al Qaaqa munitions dump went missing; HDX was clearly perfect for creating massively powerful shaped charges.
You'd think someone would at least be able to provide a chemical profile of the explosive in question. But I guess that would only be released if it helped implicate Iran.
February 12, 2007 6:12 PM | Reply | Permalink
http://www.defensetech.org/archives/001881.html
February 12, 2007 8:02 PM | Reply | Permalink
God, how ignorant are people if they fall for this?
The Iranian arms story is flawed on so many levels it's hard to comprehend the degree of ignorance necessary to take it seriously.
1) Iraq is awash in high explosive arms because Iraq had huge stockpiles of conventional arms which the US troops were not ordered to secure. Literally hundreds of thousands of tons of munitions have been looted because they were not secured, even months after the invasion.
2) Iraq under Saddam Hussein waged an eight year war of aggression against Iran during the 80s, including chemical weapons, with US backing. While Iraq is demographically predominantly Shiite, same as Iran, Saddam was Sunni, same as Saudi Arabia and same as Al Qaeda. For that reason Iran has a long history of providing arms to Iraqi Shiites, the majority of Iraqis, to fight against Saddam Hussein.
If Iran is still supplying arms to Iraqi Shiites:
1) they're doing so in historical context of continued support of traditional Shite allies, who have been historically opposed to Saddam, and are presently fighting the Iraqi Sunni allies: Al Qaeda!
2) Iran could flood Iraq with munitions if they really wanted to make things difficult for the USA, but aren't.
February 12, 2007 11:11 PM | Reply | Permalink
"Not being familiar with international standards, I am curious as to why the date is in month-day-year form when most of the world uses day-month-year date form."
Actually, the international date standard is YYYY-MM-DD. ISO 8601. See:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/ISO_8601
tWB said: "I think that we'd need more for a causus belli..."
What's a causus belli? Does it have anything to do with a casus belli?
And Jeremy asks: "Aren't a lot of the insurgents using Russian-made AK-47s? Are we going to invade Russian [sic] too?"
Yes, Bush has plans to invade Russia, but he's going to wait until next winter, then send our troops in with no winter gear, and lay siege to Leningrad.
February 13, 2007 12:23 AM | Reply | Permalink
Anyone credible still around to sacrifice?
Maybe Casey? He was somehow "persuaded" to stay on to delay his memoirs, most likely. Perhaps if he does a Powell, they'll give him a medal and let him go.
February 13, 2007 1:38 AM | Reply | Permalink
If you look at the image of that accompanies the article, you can clearly see it's a home-made device.
The copper slug is probably salvaged from munitions the US provided Saddam (M712 Copperhead?) during his war with Iran in the 1980s. The rest of it appears to be a crudely welded piece of industrial pipe; truly an IMPROVISED Explosive Device, IED.
That device was NOT manufactured in some Iranian factory, it was made in some garage in Ba'qubah.
February 13, 2007 10:35 AM | Reply | Permalink
This is a response to DallasNE's post "Hezbollah, in the recent war in southern Lebanon used weapons of this nature to destroy a number of Israeli tanks. This is just speculation, but my thought is that some of these weapons are now filtering back through Syria and into Iraq."
Iran and Iraq have a porous border comparable to the Arizona-New Mexico border with Mexico. There's no need for Iran to smuggle anything via Lebanon and Syria.
But you are quite correct that Iran is not arming the Sunnis in Iraq.
They are, on the other hand, arming Shias who are our putative allies in the current government of Iraq; a minor detail overlooked in the briefing.
It is not only the policy of Iran's government to aid their co-religionist counterparts in Iraq's government, but it is also a golden opportunity for thousands of entrepreneurial mini-capitalists in Iran to make a buck.
SSDD.
This is the same kind of "intelligence" we saw before the invasion of Iraq recycled for the neo-con echo chamber and media organ to drum up war fever against Iran.
Lies, damn lies and videotape at 11.
February 13, 2007 11:01 AM | Reply | Permalink
This smacks of Saudi/Israeli propaganda.
January 8, 2008 1:56 PM | Reply | Permalink
I have just found an interesting forum on this theme
http://groups.google.com/group/nymphets-studio/web/nymphets-2
January 25, 2008 8:38 AM | Reply | Permalink