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Today's Must Read
Everything you need to know about Pervez Musharraf's weekend declaration of martial law -- or, in his felicitous words, his placement of the Pakistani constitution in "abeyance"-- prominent journalist Ahmed Rashid tells you:
The other prime targets [of the declaration] were not the extremists terrorizing major swaths of northern Pakistan but the country's democratic, secular elite. Dozens of judges, lawyers and human rights workers have been arrested. Others have gone into hiding. Asma Jahangir, Pakistan's leading human rights activist, is under house arrest. She appealed yesterday for the Bush administration "to stop all support of the unstable dictator as his lust for power is bringing the country close to a worse form of civil strife."
So will the Bush administration listen to Jahangir, who's precisely the sort of person President Bush promised to support in his second inaugural? No, reports The New York Times.
Though Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice and Central Command chief Adm. William Fallon implored Musharraf not to declare martial law, Islamabad sees itself as having a free hand now that it's defied the administration. Says Musharraf's mouthpiece Tariq Azim Khan, "They would rather have a stable Pakistan — albeit with some restrictive norms — than have more democracy prone to fall in the hands of extremists. ... Given the choice, I know what our friends would choose."
Consider Rice's statement yesterday to a Fox News interviewer in Jerusalem:
SECRETARY RICE: And we have been very clear about that and our admonition to President Musharraf at this point is to return Pakistan to a constitutional path as quickly as possible, hold the free and fair elections on time, because this current state of affairs is not good for Pakistan.QUESTION: But you can't say whether we still support Musharraf at this point?
SECRETARY RICE: Well, I don't want to personalize this. This is about an action that has been taken. And the action is not supportable. The United States has long argued for the democratic path for Pakistan. In fact, Pakistan was quite far down that path and it's going to be very important to get back to it very, very quickly.
QUESTION: Aside from making strong statements like you have done, what else can
the U.S. do short of withholding funds? And are we talking about that?SECRETARY RICE: Well, we'll obviously review the situation and we'll review -- we'll have to review our assistance at this point. I would underscore that the President has an obligation to protect the American people. There are counterterrorism measures that we are engaged in, in and around Pakistan. There is assistance that is directed at the counterterrorism mission. And so obviously, we will want to make certain that anything that we do allows the United States to continue to protect itself and to protect our people.
It shouldn't be surprising to see counterterrorism concerns trump others. And it would be facile to argue that the U.S. doesn't have a strong interest in a stable Pakistan, particularly when the latest National Intelligence Estimate on al-Qaeda found that the core of the jihadist entity has established a safe haven in the country's lawless Federally Administered Tribal Areas.
But, as Rashid wrote, the crackdown is about suppressing threats to Musharraf's continued rule -- the most immediate threat threat being the Supreme Court, which was to rule on the legality of Musharraf being both president and Army Chief of Staff -- not terrorism. Continued funding to Musharraf now carries the tacit blessing of his martial law. Notice that Rice isn't demanding that Musharraf immediately restore the Pakistani constitution to its rightful place as the foundation of governance. She's saying that he needs to do so "as quickly as possible," thereby blessing Musharraf's pretext of a security emergency justifying his move.
Rice has a poker player's "tell" here. Parrying a question about supporting Musharraf, she says "I don't want to personalize this." But she doesn't have a Pakistan policy -- she has a Pervez Musharraf policy. The U.S. has no significant relationships with any other Pakistani political force, as Joshua Hammer recently explored for The Atlantic, largely because it sees Musharraf as the surest bet for counterterrorism collaboration. As a result, every Pakistani enraged over martial law -- which is basically everyone not named Pervez Musharraf or on his payroll -- justifiably sees the U.S. as concerned not about them but about him. Nor does the U.S., in the view of the suppressed Pakistani public, distinguish between the secular, democratic forces in Musharraf's jails and whatever terrorists he also apprehends. On the day that Musharraf eventually leaves power, we're going to learn that such a decision carries security risks of its own.













so george bush seems to think that democracy isn't such a good idea in Pakistan
so why did george think democracy would work in Iraq ???
does anybody think george bush has the first fucking clue as to how stupid george bush is ???
November 5, 2007 10:03 AM | Reply | Permalink
Now we know what Rove has been doing -- writing the first draft of Musharraf's power grab document! Mystery solved!
November 5, 2007 10:13 AM | Reply | Permalink
Reap what you sow, eh, Lil' Boots?
November 5, 2007 10:14 AM | Reply | Permalink
Double-talking Condi rides again. Does this twit ever flat out say something coherent? I keep hearing about how smart she is supposed to be and am waiting for her to prove it. (crickets) Course you don't have to be smart to fool the public about what's going on. That's what the media is for.
November 5, 2007 10:19 AM | Reply | Permalink
The other prime targets [of the declaration] were not the extremists terrorizing major swaths of northern Pakistan but the country's democratic, "secular elite".
____
hmph.
Enemy of the Goofy Old Party ?
November 5, 2007 10:22 AM | Reply | Permalink
There should be a nod to Sen. Joe Biden on the question of whether the Bush administration has a Pakistan policy or only a Pervez Musharraf policy. During his Face the Nation interview this was Biden's major criticism of Bush's policy.
Biden also pointed out that the aid to Pakistan decision was paramount. Most of the aid is going for Pakistan's defense against India, not against the Taliban. If the Pakistan military believes that this aid is in danger, then they will pressure or get rid of Musharraf. As long as that aid in not in danger, and this is what Gates is reported to think (never mind Rice's opinions), then Musharraf has a free ride from the U.S.
Not pushing Biden as a presidential candidate, but the guy knows foreign policy issues cold.
November 5, 2007 10:53 AM | Reply | Permalink
A similarly brilliant strategy worked wonders in Iran in 1979. What could possibly go wrong?
November 5, 2007 10:54 AM | Reply | Permalink
Musharrafs excuses sound eerily familiar to the GOP talking points, don't they? how long until Generals Bush and Cheney start rounding up our democratic secular elite - to combat terrorism, of course.
November 5, 2007 11:12 AM | Reply | Permalink
I think the only reason Bush is upset, is because Musharraf beat him to the punch. And now people might start wondering if Bush is planning on the same tactic to stay in power.
November 5, 2007 11:24 AM | Reply | Permalink
Now, pakistan frightens me a heck of alot more than Iran. Pakistan has nukes and lunatics running around just waiting to set up an islamic state. Pakistan intelligence set up the taliban and trained and funded the taliban, and still are. Pakistan is giving a haven to al queda. This is a very frightening development.
November 5, 2007 11:51 AM | Reply | Permalink
Condi in 2 weeks: "No one could have forseen the overthrow of Musharraf..."
November 5, 2007 12:06 PM | Reply | Permalink
Talk about being between Iraq and a hard place! Pakistan in melt down. Turkey not happy with the Kurds. Iran ready to help the Shiia. And "whatever it was" in Syria that was bombed.
Seems like a conflagration ready to ignite!
November 5, 2007 12:51 PM | Reply | Permalink
I think that Busharraf, Musharraf, Putin and Hugo Chavez are cut from the same cloth. Thank goodness we have such a brave Congress who is willing to fight for at least a couple of minutes to prevent the confirmation of an AG who thinks that the President can legally take actions in violation of US laws. Of course, if the AG opined that the bad guys were such a threat that Busharraf, as commander in chief, could unilaterally raise everyone's taxes to defend against the threat, some of Busharraf's hard core supporters might finally abandon him (unless, of course, those new tax revenues were used to fund no bid contracts for Busharraf's supporters).
November 5, 2007 1:11 PM | Reply | Permalink
granted, I'm indian, so anything those wacky pakis comes up with can't be too surprising, and I'm biased...
But those car bombs explosions near Benazir bhottu upon her return to Pakistan, followed a couple of weeks later by a state of emergency to combat "terrorism"? Very convenient, don't you think?
I've been saying it all along, Musharraf has never been anything but a military dictator, no mmater how many concessions he makes, no matter how nicely he dresses himself in civilian clothes.
Besides, as a commenter above pointed out, the money/equipment provided by Bushco to Pakistan is aimed not at the Northwest frontier/terrorist strongholds, but rather at India.
WHEN the next Indo-pak war come (not if), Bush will be responsible for a lot of the human toll...
November 5, 2007 1:22 PM | Reply | Permalink
It is astounding the Musharraf has lasted this long. He may well last a good deal longer.
Pakistan is an extremely complicated place - it would be good to hear from Pakistanis who understand their country.
I am wary of our home-grown 'experts' on the payroll of various interests.
November 5, 2007 1:48 PM | Reply | Permalink
What message are we sending here?
If you have nuclear weapons, we won't bother you...
If you don't and try to get them, watch out!
November 5, 2007 1:56 PM | Reply | Permalink
That's it - I am joining the NRA - getting me some semi-automatics, increasing my food store and digging a well. Oh yea - taking all my money out of the bank. Hunker down folks. WWIII - Bushs wish is coming true.
November 5, 2007 2:40 PM | Reply | Permalink
How richly ironic!!
This puts the bush administration in one hell of pickle.
Do you support Democracy,
or do you support a military Dictatorship?
Of course I know the answer, but hopefully this will make it clear for the 25% that still think this (mal)administration was a good idea...
I don't see how the media can spin this.
November 5, 2007 3:56 PM | Reply | Permalink
Our Little Presidunce, is watching Musharrif's activities and operations very, very carefully, and vewwy vewwy quietly. Shrub has only 12 months to come up with another 9/11-type 'incident' and be able to declare Martial Law, postpone the 08 election.... Of course, he won't have to do much with SCOTUS - he'll only have to arrest 4 & ship them to Guantanamo.... The fab 5 are his little poodles & can be depended on to approve anything W wants to do.... He'll have a little more trouble with Congress - that's a lot of people to ship down there... But, the new Airbus 380 can probably handle it....
After all, W's brainwashed minions fervently believe that the US government is best run by fanatical evangelical nutcases, & the Democrats just can't be trusted to adhere to the Biblical Directives.
November 5, 2007 6:22 PM | Reply | Permalink
Couldn't this have been avoided if Musharraf had just hired Bush's 2000 election lawyers to represent him in front of his Supreme Court?
November 5, 2007 6:48 PM | Reply | Permalink