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Beyond the decision to invade in the first place, it was no doubt the most disastrous decision of the war. In May of 2003, the U.S. disbanded the Iraqi Army, rendering more than 200,000 armed Iraqis angry and unemployed. This morning, The New York Times provides the most detailed account yet of how the decision went down. It's not pretty.

The original plan, concocted by the seasoned and competent Lt. Gen. Jay Garner, was to not disband the army. Only the Republican Guard would be disbanded. The reason was clear, according to a March, 2003 PowerPoint presentation given at a National Security Council meeting. Said one slide of the presentation: “Cannot immediately demobilize 250K-300K personnel and put on the street.”

Exactly whose idea it was to disband the army, no one can say. No, Paul Bremer won't take the credit for it. But Bremer and his deputy did champion the idea. And in late May, he told the president and his aides that he was going to disband the Iraqi Army the next day. The president signed off on it. But it's pretty remarkable who did not:

Colin L. Powell, the secretary of state and a former chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, said he was never asked for advice, and was in Paris when the May 22 meeting was held.

Mr. Powell, who views the decree as a major blunder, later asked Condoleezza Rice, who was serving as Mr. Bush’s national security adviser, for an explanation.

“I talked to Rice and said, ‘Condi, what happened?’ ” he recalled. “And her reaction was: ‘I was surprised too, but it is a decision that has been made and the president is standing behind Jerry’s decision. Jerry is the guy on the ground.’ And there was no further debate about it.”

And then there's the question of whether Bremer consulted the military command in Iraq about the decision. Funny story, that. The senior commander there at the time, Lt. Gen. David D. McKiernan, had clearly opposed the idea of disbanding the army. And when the time came to see if he would sign off on the plan to disband the army, Bremer assigned a retired officer on his staff, Col. Greg Gardner, to check in on McKiernan. For some reason, the two sides can't seem to agree on whether McKiernan signed off:

Mr. Bremer’s headquarters was in the Green Zone in central Baghdad, while General McKiernan’s was at a base near the Baghdad airport several miles away. Colonel Gardner said that there were problems with telephone communications but that he finally reached a member of General McKiernan’s staff who told him that the general accepted the decree.

“I got the impression that Lieutenant General McKiernan was not all that keen about the course of action,” Colonel Gardner said, “but was clearly told that he did endorse the draft.” Colonel Gardner added that he could not recall the name of the staff officer he spoke with.

General McKiernan, however, asserted that he neither reviewed nor backed the decree. “I never saw that order and never concurred,” he said. “That is absolutely false.”

Lt. Gen. J. D. Thurman, who serves as the Army’s chief operations officer and was the top operations officer for General McKiernan at the time, had a similar recollection. “We did not get a chance to make a comment,” he said in an e-mail message. “Not sure they wanted to hear what we had to say.”

Bremer did apparently notify Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld before the decree and says that Rumsfeld approved in a phone conversation. If that is the case, Rumsfeld doesn't seem to have thought much about it. And if you sense a pattern here, it's that those who might have thought much about it weren't consulted:

“Anyone who is experienced in the ways of Washington knows the difference between an open, transparent policy process and slamming something through the system,” said Franklin C. Miller, the senior director for Defense Policy and Arms Control, who played an important role on the National Security Council in overseeing plans for the postwar phase. “The most portentous decision of the occupation was carried out stealthily and without giving the president’s principal advisers an opportunity to consider it and give the president their views.”

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In 2005's State of Denial, Bob Woodward wrote extensively about how Jay Garner tried to beat back repeated directives from the Pentagon to disband the Iraqi Army and throw all Baathists (from General to janitor) out of the government. Garner colorfully describes how Bremer made it clear he was going to implement the policy and that it had come from "on high."

Here are a few more excerps of passing this buck (from Slate, September of 2007):

In his memoir, published last year, Bremer wrote that he was handed the orders—and told to announce them as soon as possible—by Douglas Feith, undersecretary of defense for policy. "We've got to show all the Iraqis that we're serious about building a new Iraq," Feith reportedly told him. "And that means that Saddam's instruments of repression have no role in that new nation."

Feith was a messenger, too, reporting directly to Paul Wolfowitz, the deputy secretary of defense, and ultimately to Secretary Rumsfeld.

Did Rumsfeld write the order? Bob Woodward, in State of Denial: Bush at War, Part III, quotes Rumsfeld as saying that the order came from elsewhere. Does that mean it came from the White House? My guess is it came from Vice President Dick Cheney, if only because his is one of the most leakproof offices in Washington. Had the order originated someplace else, that fact would have leaked by now. It's like the dog that didn't bark in the Sherlock Holmes story; unbarking dogs in this administration, especially at this late date of decrepitude, tend to be the hounds in Cheney's kennel.

But where did Cheney get the idea? A good guess here is that it came from that familiar meddler of the era: the Iraqi exile, chief neocon guru, and suave banker-mathematician, Ahmad Chalabi.


And still, 5 years and 4,000 body bags later, the MSM won't even bother to take a closer look at this [or at what it might be like under a "McCain administration"]

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Something is unclear here.

‘I was surprised too, but it is a decision that has been made and the president is standing behind Jerry’s decision. Jerry is the guy on the ground.’

So, who is this mysterious Jerry? No previous (or subsequent) mention of anyone with that name in the story.

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Paul Bremer also goes by Jerry Bremer.

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Jerry is the nickname long ago given to Ambassador L Paul Bremer III. It's Bremer that General Powell is referring to in that conversation with Secretary Rice.

"Jerry" refers to Lewis Paul Bremer III aka L. Paul Bremer. Jerry is his nickname.

For whatever reason, Republicans univerally seem to hate their first names and they revert to some sort of first initial and then incorporate their middle names as well as a nickname. oftentimes.

The landscape is littered with them. A few immediately at hand:

I. Lewis "Scooter" Libby.
H. Boyden Gray
J. Scott Jennings

My questions is this: Why should we give ANYONE connected to the Bush administration the benefit of any doubt when it comes to the fiasco that is Iraq? Does Mr. Bremer have any credibility based on his past actions as proconsul? Why should he try to whitewash his past now?

Remember, they are all liars whose only concern is protecting themselves and the moneyed interests that placed them in office.

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Thinks stinks of childhood politics to me. Mom is going over the bills. Dad is watching the game. You wanna ask, but Mom is gonna say 'no'. Dad might not be paying attention, and even if he is, he might say 'yes'. Who do you ask? You wait until two minutes before halftime and ask Dad, of course.

It's just a shame that in this case, "Jerry" was dealing with two (or more) parents who are "divorced..." from reality.

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Jake,

I wondered about that too, but I have a vague memory that it refers to Bremer.

Paul:

Agree with what you say and with the comments above... but today's Times piece is not the most enlightening or detailed expose on the Iraqi army debacle. Try the exceptionally well-produced and edifying documentary No End in Sight. There's a scary movie for you.

From WaPo's review of Fred Kaplan's book, Daydream Believers yesterday:

The absence of [an effective and functioning policy process] in the Bush administration resulted not only from arrogance and ignorance, but also from a failure of management at the very highest levels. Kaplan claims that the disastrous twin orders given by Coalition Provisional Authority head L. Paul Bremer to remove Baathist party members from virtually every level of the Iraqi government and to disband the Iraqi army were in fact dictated by Douglas Feith, then undersecretary of defense for policy. Yet two months earlier the National Security Council had decided to remove only the top level of Baathists from the government and to decommission only the Republican Guard, not the entire army. Feith and his boss Rumsfeld simply disregarded these decisions. But when then-National Security Adviser Condoleezza Rice told Bush that Rumsfeld was disobeying NSC decisions approved by Bush himself, Bush responded by telling Rice to meet with chief of staff Andrew Card -- he'll take care of it, he said. Card, however, was no more willing to face down Rumsfeld than Bush was. As a result, flagrant insubordination, with criminally negligent consequences, went unremarked, not to mention unpunished.

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From Bremer in yesterday's NYT:

FIFTEEN months before the 9/11 attacks, the bipartisan National Commission on Terrorism, on which I served as chairman, reported to the president and the American people that we faced a new and terrible threat: the nexus between states that supported terrorism and killers who wanted to murder Americans by the thousands and were prepared to die doing it.

For decades, American administrations from both parties had designated Saddam Hussein’s Iraq a terrorist state. ...

I read the National Commission on Terrorism report issued in 2000 and Iraq was not identified as a hubbub of terrorist activity. Greece, yes, Iraq no.


Bremer was the man who implemented the order to disband the Iraqi army therefore the "credit" should go to him. This notion about it not being his "idea" is farcical, more dishonesty from the worst administration in our history.

Lovelynina is right on the money, check out the oscar nominated documentary "No End In Sight", an excellently created retrospective on the f**k-up that is the Iraq war.

I've seen this in business too. There's a strong impression that the boss wants something done. But the boss is too smart, or too indecisive, or just too vague, to clearly articulate it. So the top managers take it upon themselves to get it done, but aren't sure of the details. This doesn't stop them from sending it down the line. The message is "we need you on board with this - be a team player".

But when it comes to nailing down the goal, much less the actual marching orders, they don't want to ask the boss - that might look less than "proactive", like they can't "take charge". So they punt and force everybody down the line to punt too.

The result is that when it comes time for accountability, everybody thinks they were presented with a fait accompli, and that the initial decision was a pay grade or two above them. The boss of course never gave any such order, and nobody else did either.

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Hey, mistakes were made. Freedom's untidy. Things happen. One more "Who could have predicted...?"
And now there's nobody to blame. What a coup!

And th vp? What might be his roll? decider?

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Isn't it a given when Iraq fuckups are brought up the same names surface? I'm not a Tommy Franks fan but when he described Douglas Feith he hit the nail on the head. Except it should have been Feith's head. Wolfowitz just seems unclean or crawly to me. And it's amazing how he keeps landing these high paying gigs and fucks up everyone of them. This administration just kicks to the curb talented, prescient, trained, experienced able people for political cronys who couldn't hit a cow in the ass with a shovel. Each of these assholes has been a complete failure and gets rewarded. For what? Malfeasance? Dereliction?
Stupidity? That's it, stupidity!

in the interest of giving credit where credit is due, hanging responsibility on the tool who was merely doing the bidding of his masters by implementing the policy is not something you'll find me getting onboard with.

we overlook the office of the vice president in the person of dick cheney and his personal shop/front, the office of special plans at the pentagon, at our own collective peril. feith, shulsky, luti, wolfowitz, and cambone should not be denied their fair share of the credit, simply because bremer offers such a convenient neck on which to hang the blame.

but most importantly, let's not forget where the buck ought to stop. we might remember our commander in chief used to insist on reminding us, "I'm a war president!"

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Can't trust any of these pack of liars. But I thought Massing/Danner (NYReview of Books) nailed it when he said it was Rumsfeld, who set the order to disband the army and then covered his tracks.

The article talks about Chalabi being Rumsfeld's ace in the hole--i.e. having Chalabi leading the country obviated, in Rumsfeld's mind, the need to have the old Iraqi army.In this way the plan we analogous to putting Karzai in charge of Afghanistan. Chalabi fell through and plan A led to the chaos we now have. Even with Chalabi at the head there would still be chaos.

This is all water under the bridge, kids.
I'm far more concerned with what these fools might have in store for us come October.
IMHO, Admiral Fallon's abrupt "resignation" was a clear sign of things to come.

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Agree, Mikestand - I've seen this in business, too. And was told flat out that I would never be promoted because I was the person (near the end of the line) who said, "I want this in writing, or I'm not doing it." Small loss, and a really great way to motivate an employee.

I always wondered how business in this country managed not to go belly up more often, since all of the companies I worked for save one were dreadfully managed, and all had a crook or three somewhere in the executive core who eventaully had to be allowed to resign. Not to mention the racism and sexism that run rampant. Now I guess we are seeing what happens when they don't get to play only on high ground with their backs to the sun. Unfortunately, the idiots responsible will get bailed out and keep on making stupid decisions while the rest of us are paying for it.

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No way was this Bremer's decision. He is the functionary, the fall guy. I think bookish girl is on the right path: probably Feith, or Rumsfeld, or Wolfowitz. But at any rate, a high level political appointee right next to Bush. This "confusion" as to who did it is just a bunch of lies.

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Of course it was Rumsfeld.

and,

Of course it was Cheney.


So how was this decided?
I assume that the decision was made long before they even took office. The PNAC policy documents clearly indicate their desire for the total hegomony over the middle east. Hegomony isn't possible with an army of 250K hanging around.

Or... they could have decided during pillow-talk in their post-coital lassitude...

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