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Today's Must Read
They've got the bark part down pat.
You heard about Freedom's Watch, the billionaire-backed, uber-connected attack group that was going to put a $250 million hurt on the Democratic nominee and a number of Congressional candidates to boot. Well, that hasn't turned out too well.
And now there seems to be no shortage of self-doubt amongst conservative insiders about their prospects for a good bite come the fall. The left has its act together, but a Swift Boat 2.0 has yet to emerge for the right.
With Sen. John McCain facing the prospect of being dramatically outspent in the race for the White House, a collection of major Republican donors and party leaders that includes former Bush strategist Karl Rove is scrambling to catch up with the efforts of liberal groups aiming to influence the outcome in November....This year, allies of President Bush such as Rove, billionaire T. Boone Pickens, New York financier Paul Singer and Florida developer Mel Sembler, who helped harness and direct millions of dollars to the 2004 campaign, are working to rekindle those efforts. But they are finding the 2008 landscape to be more challenging, according to Republican sources familiar with the ongoing talks....
"I hear rumblings," said Brad Freeman, a Bush donor in California. "People keep asking the question, 'What are we going to do this time?' "
Sembler, a big Bush donor and former finance chairman of the Republican National Committee, confirmed that he and others are working to identify a group that could help shape the agenda for the presidential campaign and steer major donors to it. A motivating factor, he said, is the sense that Democrats are much further along in their efforts.
"They are very organized. They started a whole lot earlier," Sembler said. "We are not quite as organized. But our efforts are still going forward."
Now, maybe this is just a bunch of premature talk. After all, this is not a group that is just going to sit on its thumbs. But it does seem possible that rather than one prominent conservative attack group emerging this election, there will be a cluster who emerge at different times.
Another interesting dynamic this election will be whether Sen. John McCain (R-AZ) criticizes outside attack groups as he has in the past, and as he did speaking to Chris Matthews last week, and whether those groups respond. The Post's reporting suggests that McCain's criticism actually has had an impact, making conservative donors more skittish about taking the plunge. On the other hand, the McCain camp seems to be puzzled by the response:
McCain campaign manager Rick Davis said Friday that he understands the cause and effect and is not bothered by it. He conceded that he has been surprised that no one group has emerged on the Republican side, in spite of the candidate's comments. "I would have thought by now someone would occupy that space," Davis said.













Seems pretty simple to me. Conservatives are selfish and greedy. They can see that they're doomed to lose, and lose badly this year. So why should they throw good money at a lost cause? I think, for the most part, they'll keep their powder dry and wait four years.
-- ARG
April 21, 2008 10:20 AM | Reply | Permalink
I don't see the eagle wearing an American flag lapel pin. It must hate America.
April 21, 2008 10:31 AM | Reply | Permalink
Last Friday, Peter Stone in the National Journal reported that Karl Rove is organizing 501(c)(4)s and 527s:
"One new group being cobbled together includes old associates of Rove from the lobbying and communications firm DCI Group, including Tom Synhorst. The firm was heavily involved in the two major 527s in 2004."
I think the group referred to is American Future Fund which has already ran pro-Norm Coleman ads in Minnesota. I've been posting about AFF and its affiliate, Iowa Future Fund here and here.
IFF was running anti-Governor Chet Culver ads in Iowa. After IFF's ties to ethanol mogul were revealed, IFF suddenly became Iowa Policy Project.
AFF and IFF were registered in Iowa on 8/7/07 by Holtzman Vogel which is owned by top DC Republican operatives.
The DCI Group has its roots in Iowa. Synhorst is a native Iowan.
More importantly, Brian Kennedy, a DCI Group exec, lives in Iowa. Kennedy is the co-founder of Progress For America. In 2006, Kennedy made a failed bid for an Iowan congressional seat.
Steven P. Greiner, DCI Group partner, was a senior advisor to former Rep. Jim Nussle in his failed 2006 Iowan gubernatorial bid. Nussle was appointed executive director of the OMB last June.
In the WaPo article that Paul linked to, Philip A. Musser was quoted as being a Republican consultant advising the American Future Fund. Musser was a deputy chief of staff at HUD and executive director of the Republican Governors Association.
Another big name working with AFF is Ben "Swift Boat" Ginsberg.
AFF and IFF
April 21, 2008 10:41 AM | Reply | Permalink
I omitted the name of the ethanol mogul in my comment. He is Bruce Rastetter and he also has a major interest in wind farms. Rastetter's partners in the ethanol and wind farm businesses are some very wealthy private bankers.
Two of Rastetter's employees appear to be directly involved in American Future Fund and Iowa Future Fund, Nick Ryan and Eric Peterson.
Nick Ryan was Jim Nussle's long time campaign manager. Eric Peterson is an '07 grad who appears to be the token president of IFF
April 21, 2008 10:50 AM | Reply | Permalink
It's just a Rovian head fake. Sure, they'll have these groups in pace to Swiftboat and otherwise gut the Democratic nominee; this is what they do best!
April 21, 2008 10:50 AM | Reply | Permalink
I like the McCain campaign's response.
Makes it obvious that McCain will continue to attack these groups but secretly go to bed each night hoping they attack anyway. Then he gets the best of both worlds, the attacks are out and he comes off smelling like a rose instead of shit.
April 21, 2008 12:12 PM | Reply | Permalink
Give 'em time. Meanwhile, the GOP has George Stayontopofthis to do their dirty work.
April 21, 2008 1:36 PM | Reply | Permalink
McCain campaign manager Rick Davis . . . conceded that he has been surprised that no one group has emerged on the Republican side, in spite of the candidate's comments.
Translation: We assumed they would know our guy was just spewing the usual bullshit.
I guess having a reputation for "straight-talk" isn't always all it's cracked up to be.
April 21, 2008 4:34 PM | Reply | Permalink
most of the swiftboating is done with the uncontested repetition of the talk radio monopoly and that is still in place and still largely working under the progressive radar as it did against kerry and gore and will for obama or clinton (again).
April 21, 2008 11:00 PM | Reply | Permalink