TPM Muckraker

« previous | MUCK HOME | next »

Phase II

The long wait is over. Phase II, the Senate intel committee's report on pre-war intelligence on Iraq, is out.

There are two parts to the report, and you can read them here (warning: big .pdfs):

"Report on Whether Public Statements Regarding Iraq by U.S. Government officials Were Substantiated by Intelligence Information"

"Report on Intelligence Activities Relating to Iraq Conducted by the Policy Counterterrorism Evaluation Group and the Office of Special Plans Within the Office of the Under Secretary of Defense for Policy"

There's a lot there, and as we read through it these next few hours (days), we'd welcome any insights from readers who are doing the same. You can flag sections you think are particularly interesting or relevant in the comments section below.


42 Comments

| Leave a comment
user-pic

How 'bout this. On page 25 of the second report (let's call it phase2b), it says that the second Ghorbanifar meeting (the one in Paris) was set up by two Middle East experts from the OVP who ran into Harold Rhode in Istanbul, Turkey at a conference in June, 2003. No names, no WTF about how they got involved, no mention that the OVP was involved in a lot of weird things in June 2003.

user-pic

Haven't read these yet but have to wonder if the timing of the release coinciding with HC's bowing out is more than coincidence. That is, did the committee wait till this moment in order to avoid her further embarrassment for her war vote?

So now can congress start discussing impeachment?

user-pic

That is my thought, exactly.

Congress has now officially investigated the pre-war intelligence, AND its use by the President and Vice President. And Congress has concluded that they lied. (Perhaps the report doesn't use that word exactly, but what else would you call it?)

So it seems to me that impeachment should be back "on the table" now.

And, no, it's not too late. First, it's never too late to do the right thing (for a change). And second, this administration still has 6-1/2 months to do even more mischief. (Consider Condi's comments about Iran just yesterday.)

ITMFA.

-- ARG

If only! With the lick spittle leaders in Congress, Pelosi, Hoyer and even Conyers, there's no way a bill of impeachment would be introduced.

I believe with the attitude inside the beltway, Cheney could sodomize a pig in public at the Observatory and receive a commendation for being kind to pigs.

user-pic

I believe with the attitude inside the beltway, Cheney could sodomize a pig in public at the Observatory and receive a commendation for being kind to pigs.

Well, from the GOP's point of view, at least it wouldn't have happened in a public men's restroom. They gotta give him some kind of credit for thinking outside the stall, so to speak.

user-pic

Here is a video of Condi telling Wexler/Congress that the intelligence we went to war on was all wrong. If she knew that the intelligence was wrong, told Congress (oath or no) that she didn't know the intelligence was wrong, doesn't that make her a perjurer?

user-pic

Super-abbreviated version of the findings:

"...were not substantiated by the intelligence."

"...were contradicted by available intelligence information."

"...did not reflect the concerns and uncertainties expressed in the intelligence products."

"...did not reflect the intelligence community’s uncertainties as to whether such production was ongoing.

"...was not substantiated by available intelligence information."

"The Intelligence Community did not confirm..."

user-pic

No one could have predicted that an incurious buffoon and a bloodthirsty sociopath would lie to further their War to Resubjugate Brown People and line their friends' pockets.

blogenfreude, can i get your entire comment on a large tee-shirt in bronco orange and royal blue lettering? That's just perfect.

Impeach!

War crimes indictments beginning Feb 2009 post-pardon.

Grand Juries could get going today. W cannot disband a grand jury absent indictments.

user-pic

I swear, they'll be burning documents all night at the White House on Jan. 19, 2009.

If someone bothered to keep a crustry blue dress laying around, you can bet someone kept a backup tape or two. McClellean's book was a permission slip for Others to speak. Combined with the Senate report, there is no reason not to proceed with grand juries.

And curse the Senate for taking until 2008 to get it.

user-pic

If they shred every bit of incriminating documentation, the Bush Presidential Library will fit in a small bathroom

user-pic

Thumb-drives will be smashed.

Where is Fawn Hall and her shredder when we need her??

user-pic

I'm beyond confused in reading the "Report... Substantiated by Intelligence Information", aka Phase2a. Did the committee use the "intelligence" gathered in Feith's OSP (Office of Stovepiped Plans) or not?

On p.2, the report discusses the intelligence that the committee used in the analysis. These included the "major coordinated inter-agency intelligence reports, such as the NIEs, IC Assesments and Briefs and other consensus products."

On page 98 in the additional views of Hagel and Snowe, they report that they agreed with the DOD's IG report that Feith's office "did not provide the most accurate analysis of intelligence". But in the next graf they go on to say that they then decided to only use intelligence from Feith that the IG had not covered.

And when I'm reading the main report, the only way some of the lines in the speeches said by Bush/Cheney/Other Liars, could NOT be considered lies, is if the stuff from Feith's office is included, specifically the fantasies involving supposed state sponsored support of terrorism, and Iraq's major supporting role in it's involvement with Al-Qaeda and 9/11 (versus a "mutual wary relationship" (p.63), which was one of the few constant IC themes).

And if the majority, which for at least the ending phase of this report was the Democrats, let the Republicans put Feith's junk in to support statements made by the liars-in-chiefs, then I'm ready to pack for Canada.

Like I said, I'm confused.

user-pic

Is it possible that all of these conspirators may be tried in criminal court after they exit the WH in 09? Can one of you legally aware sorts weigh in?
Also, what are the particulars on pardons given by Bush when he is intentionally obfuscating a henchperson's illegal activity? Like Scooter Libby.

If indictments fall post Jan 2009, it would be up to the next President to issue any pardons. The next DoJ is going to have its hands full.

Grand juries could get moving today. There is no mechanism for a president to disband a sitting grand jury. Naturally, Mukasey won't call for them, but there are other avenues.

Congress retains huge authority that it has let atrophy, but appears to be waking up. There is also the civil route, which could help establish standing.

There came a point in 1973 when Watergate took on a life of its own. We are very close to that moment now, with McClellan's book and the Senate report.

user-pic

We've been so close to so many moments...I have trust issues. Particularly so because all of this criminal business has been so OBVIOUS and breathtaking in scope. (As one commentator put it, this WH makes the Nixon gang look like the Adlai Stevenson crowd.)
Re: pardons, though, couldn't Libby's be rescinded if it was shown to be exculpation of criminal behavior in a conspiracy that involved the Prez?

A Predident Obama will face many nightmares. For me, the first order of business is applying the rule of law. This means a full-court press by his DoJ for grand juries, and let the indictments fall where the evidence leads.

The world is waiting for us to do this. After torture and preemeption, America must do this.

Until America establishes credibility through its deeds, nothing will change.

We will have a situation where W, Cheney, and many of his clan cannot step foot in Vermont or face arrest for war crimes. Ditto a growing number of foreign countries.

This is intolerable, and cannot be pardoned away, or ignored. Justice is screaming at America just now.

Who will listen?

user-pic

Marioth,

I fear that if Obama is elected and the Dems keep control of both Houses, they may sit on their winnings and not get involved in any investigations of the Bush gang lest they rock the boat.

I suspect that's what they have been doing since they took over Congress; expressing righteous indignation at the Bush gang's arguably criminal activity, holding meaningless hearings, issuing meaningless subpoenas, ignoring impeachment, of which investigations may have brought to light much of what the cretins have been up to.

I agree with you that Congress was not motivated to seek remedies. The enetitled dem party that took over in 2006, however, will not be the same one that takes over in 2008. The old party is now defunct, and with it goes the deliberate politics of Clintonian obfuscation. It was entrenched, and Obama flushed it out.

For to call on investigations means both parties will be found liable, though not criminally so as far as the law is concerned.

For that, we need to go after the principles.

And I will tell you, if a constitutional lawyer and president of Harvard Law Review cannot see the importance of enforcing such an obvioud need for the rule of law, America is truly done.

user-pic

On November 11, 2007 I was privileged to be seated at a very good table at the Des Moines, IA Jefferson Jackson dinner. Minutes before food service began Obama staff advised the table that the Senator would be joining us for part of the dinner. As it happened, he sat to my left and stayed for the rest of the dinner, leaving after dessert. (He had a fork full of the chocolate mouse as I recall. The chicken main course was inedible.)

Understanding that the Senator had other things on his mind (he gave a great speech later that night), I was torn between keeping the conversation light or going for substance. I compromised, and for most of the dinner we talked about kids and halloween.

The substantive question I asked was whether as President, he would issue an executive order to recover state documents from Presidential libraries. He paused a moment before replying, but said that yes, he would, but not to include private correspondence.

After considering his seemingly candid and considered response, I then made a statement in lieu of a direct follow up question. I said that I thought given the emphasis he had in his campaign on bringing the country together in a bipartisan way to bring about positive changes, his administration might have a serious problem with also bringing to account people in the current administration who had done things that exceeded their statutory authorities. I paused, and then observed that there was the example Nelson Mandella's South African government had set with their reconciliation program. Senator Obama immediately corrected me, saying, "Remember, it was called the Truth and Reconcilliation program."

I had been fortunate to have previously met and spoken briefly with Senator Obama a couple of months earlier, prior to his appearance at a small town, Iowa campaign rally. On that occasion we briefly discussed his commitment to ensuring the rule of law. I believe it is one of his core values.

user-pic

I am very glad that these reports are out and that you've linked to them. However, I think you need to read the report concerning statements made by the Bush administration and see how the intel community did coorborate the idea that Iraq had NBC weapons.

It's important to note that the intel was wrong, but just as important to note how the policy makers were clever enough to take that kernel of truth and expand upon it. It will be very difficult to say that they were lieing, but certainly they exaggerated Iraq's WMD capability. At least it's on the record now.

user-pic

"It will be very difficult to say that they were lieing, but certainly they exaggerated Iraq's WMD capability. At least it's on the record now."

The only legal way the US could have invaded Iraq without the second UN resolution calling for the use of force (which they never got) was by attacking Iraq as self-defense when an imminent threat existed. The first report (I haven't read the second yet) clearly shows the Bush administration lied about that - there was no evidence whatsoever that showed any kind of imminent threat.

FLABBERGASTING

user-pic

If Bond, Chambliss, and Hatch believed evidence pointed to the contrary (as noted in their rebuttal), why didn't they get the report out while they were still the majority and in control?

What did they gain by stalling and obfuscating if what they perceived as the truth was available? It's simply not plausible.

No, it's not, and this house of cards is about to fall.

user-pic

"Then-Under Secretary of Defense for Policy Doug Feith sent two Pentagon employees to the Rome meetings with Manucher Ghorbanifar, an Iranian dissident already dismissed by the CIA as untrustworthy, and several Iranians who were former and current members of the security service."

Unless I'm mistaken, this is the same Manucher Ghorbahifar that was involved in Ollie North's Iran-Contra operation.
Ghorbahnifar took the USA for millions then and he's still around trying to work his scam.

"Iranian moderates", heh heh heh.

My biggest issue with all of this is simply one of accountability.

Even if Congress chose not to impeach the President over all of this, they should at least take SOME type of action, even if it is symbolic. Censure.

Bush has established the precedent that lying a country into war is acceptable.

More to the point, given the rhetoric coming out of the White House right now, Congress needs to take a step that tells the President, if he attacks Iran, he's going to jail. Not impeached, jail.

Phase I: Steal underpants

Phase III: Profit

For years, we asked, "What's Phase II?"

Now, finally, we know. Thanks to the boys at TPMMuckraker.

dogjudge: from your lips to God's ears. I think I could give up my agnosticism if these idiots ever got jail terms for their careless destruction of human lives.

Conclusion 16: Statements by President Bush and Vice President Cheney regarding the postwar situation in Iraq, in terms of the political, security, and economic, did not reflect the concerns and uncertainties expressed in the intelligence products.

"In August 2002, the CIA produced a report, Can Iraq Ever Become a Democracy? at the request of the National Security Council. In the report's scope note, the CIA stated that:

This assessment fully accepts that traditional Iraqi political culture has been inhospitable to democracy. Nevertheless, we feel it is appropriate to explore, in a necessarily initial and speculative fashion, to what extent post-Saddam Iraq might possess some democratic building blocks . . .

Continues...

"The report stated that, 'On the surface, Iraq currently appears to lack both the socioeconomic and politico-cultural prerequisites that political scientists generally regard as necessary to nurture democracy. Nevertheless, we believe that Iraq has several advantages that, if buttressed by the West, could foster democracy in post-Saddam Iraq.' The advantages cited by the report included return of exiled elites, a weak tradition of political Islam, near universal revulsion against Saddam's dictatorship, and economic resources. The report emphasized that ‘None of these factors should be seen as minimizing the obstacles to democratization in Iraq after Saddam.'"


Post-war expectations based on wishful thinking.

And then there was a second CIA repot in the same month called The Perfect Storm: Planning for Negative Consequences of Invading Iraq.”

Excerpt from Phase 2:

“The negative consequences highlighted in the paper were: anarchy and territorial breakup in Iraq, instability in key Arab states, a surge of global terrorism, deepening Islamic antipathy toward the United States, major oil disruptions, and severe strains in the Atlantic Alliance.”


GW: Check. Check. And Check. Alright boys, fire up them jets. Got me a Jihadimohammaterrorist to kill, people to liberate and dirty chemical bomb whathaveyous to find.


user-pic

Just because Jay Rockefeller is descended from the world's biggest, greediest corporate tycoon, that doesn't mean he would protect...

Oh, never mind.

user-pic

There's an overlooked quote from McCain that looks truly egregious in light of the committee's findings. The committee found that the intelligence did not support the idea that Saddam was at all inclined to initiate a WMD attack against the United States by passing WMD to terrorists. Well, here's what McCain said in February 2003:

"Is there any doubt in anybody's mind that if Saddam Hussein thought he could harm the United States that he wouldn't give any terrorist organization some weapon of mass destruction?"

This quote is buried in the Arizona Republic archives and appears nowhere on the web aside from a few prior efforts on my part (such as this Daily Kos diary) to draw attention to it.

If McCain is confronted on this statement, I think it has the potential to be devastating to his campaign. His rhetorical question was outrageously inconsistent with the intelligence available at the time, and the topic- the likelihood of a WMD attack against the U.S.- was absolutely central to the case for war.

It's so clear cut that the intelligence did not say that Saddam intended to hurt us by passing on WMD that even the dissenting Republican Senators do not dispute this point in the report. In the appendices that describe their objections to the report, they attempt to defend the administration by arguing that the administration made claims regarding what Saddam "could" do, not what he "would" do or "intended" to do. For instance, on p154, they argue that


... the President did not say that he would, he said that he could provide a chemical or biological weapon to terrorists.

Again, on p170, it is conceded that statements on Saddam's intentions had no intelligence support, and the administration's statements are defended as speculation intended to avoid the "failure of imagination" that supposedly led to 9/11.

Well, there's no defending McCain's rhetorical question on those grounds. The implication there was clearly that Saddam was looking for an opportunity to hurt us.


user-pic

I'm SO jaded by Washington's antics these days that I have little faith anything will ever be done to bring the Bush gang to justice.

Leave it for the history books to slam them for posterity and move on to something that will actually make things better for Americans.

Don't get me wrong - I'd LOVE to see Bush, Cheney, Rumsfeld and a dozen others in jail. I just don't think we'll be satisfied with anything that ever gets done about them.

user-pic

It seems to me there is enough to convict these cretins of violating our laws and the Geneva Convention against torture. If these a$$holes arent brought to justice and helds accountable, from the President on down, we as a nation of "laws" will be a joke.

user-pic

No one, currently or past, involved in wrong doing during the Bush administration will be held accountable in a full, meaningful way.

While saying differently, Jay Rockefeller has been just as much involved in coverups of the telecom illegal spying on Americans and "Phase two" as any Republican.

Once in office, the Democrat party will brush as much of these wrong doings under the rug as the Republicans.

Wait, watch, and see.

You don't have to be a blind conservative not to see it, just an ignorant one to deny it.

user-pic

I just got Vincent Bugliosi's new book, The Prosecution of George W. Bush for Murder. In it he lays out the legal case against Bush for the murder of 4,090 Americans. By lying about the reasons for the war, he is liable for their deaths. I sent e-mails to both of my Senators about this but neither have replied although I requested replies. We'll see how gutless the Congress is. Bush shouldn't be able to go back to his ranch and live the high life when he's ruined the lives of millions.

I can't wait to get my hands on that book, I may skip reading it and just send it to a District Attorney within a deceased soldier's jurisdiction. Vince Bugliosi is quite the high profile character from the past, he's the one who prosecuted the Manson Family and later wrote "Helter-Skelter" book. He was a man on a mission back then, and has the same verve now. Cheney/Bush don't have a prayer!

Leave a comment

Advertisement
Please disable your adblocker!
Ads are how we pay the bills!

Subscribe
Tip Line

Josh
Marshall

Bio

Zachary
Roth

Bio

Advertise Liberally
Share
Close Social Web Email

"To" Email Address

Your Name

Your Email Address