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Palin Probe Could Mean Election-Eve Trouble for McCain
It looks like John McCain's new running mate, Sarah Palin, could be hit with some decidedly negative PR at the worst possible time. The Alaska legislature's investigation of whether Governor Palin improperly fired a state employee is scheduled to wrap up and release its findings just days before the November election.
The firing is at the center of a scandal that has largely remained confined to the Alaska press, but is now likely to become a national story in the wake of Palin's selection -- one that could conceivably have an impact on the presidential race.
As it happens, we've been tracking the story closely here at TPMmuckraker.
The scandal concerns allegations that Palin's office improperly fired the state's public safety commissioner because he refused to remove Palin's ex-brother-in-law from his job as a state trooper after his bitter divorce from Palin's sister. In addition to the legislature's investigation, the Alaska attorney general is also looking into the matter.
Palin had at first denied that her office had a hand in pushing to have the trooper fired, but was forced to retract those denials when taped evidence emerged that a staffer in her office was involved.
If the investigation finds that her personal involvement was more extensive than she has admitted, it could create some damaging headlines for the McCain campaign at the worst possible moment.
Here's a recap of the story:
The scandal began on July 11, when Public Safety Commissioner Walt Monegan was removed from his post with little explanation, a move whose abruptness quickly raised questions in Alaska. A few days later, Monegan decided to blow the whistle, and came forward to tell local media that he had been dismissed because he refused to fire trooper Mike Wooten, the ex-husband of Palin's sister, after having been pressured to do so by aides to Palin. (Monegan's replacement, former Kenai Chief of Police Chuck Kopp was only lasted two weeks on the job once past complaints of sexual harassment from 2005 were publicized.)
Critics pointed out that the effort to fire the trooper might have been directly related to the fact that Palin's family had a longstanding grievances with Wooten. In an internal state police investigation in 2005, Palin herself had accused Wooten of threatening to harm her father during the breakup of her sister's marriage. (The Palins claimed, among other things, that Wooten had used a taser on his 10-year-old stepson, and shot a moose without a permit.)
Since Monegan made his allegations, Palin has denied that she personally had a role in the effort to fire Wooten. On July 28, the state legislative council, a bipartisan panel of senators and representatives, appointed a special commission to probe the matter.
Her backtrack on her office's role was prompted by the preliminary findings of a separate ongoing investigation into the matter by the state Attorney General, launched on August 4, that she herself put into motion. At a press conference at which Palin revealed some of that investigation's finding, she acknowledged that in February, state troopers had taped a phone call from Frank Bailey, Palin's director of boards and commissions, whom she appointed in August 2007, in which Bailey appeared to push for the firing of Wooten on Palin's behalf.
In the call, Bailey appeared to say that Palin and her husband were frustrated that Wooten still had his job. "The Palins can't figure out why nothing's going on," Bailey said in the recorded phone call. "Todd and Sarah are scratching their heads ... 'Why is this guy representing the department, he's a horrible recruiting tool.' You know? So from their perspective everybody's protecting him."
The investigation could be particularly poorly timed for the GOP. Steve Branchflower, a former state prosecutor who is conducting the investigation, has a three-month contract for his work, which started August 1, and will end October 31, according to Alaska State Senate Judiciary Committee chair, Hollis French (D), who is overseeing the probe. French told TPMmuckraker that he expects Branchflower to release his report in the days before the November 4th presidential election.
A spokeswoman for Palin told TPMmuckraker that the governor's office would be fully cooperating with Branchflower.
Palin won the governor's office in 2006 as a squeaky clean reformer. "She portrayed herself as an open-government, ethical person," Rep. Mike Doogan, a Democratic state lawmaker, told TPMmuckraker. "You can see the obvious problem." He added: "These things don't help her [politically]."
And they may not help John McCain either.
(ed.note: The original version of this post incorrectly stated that the state legislature was in Democratic hands and ordered the probe of Monegan's firing. In fact, the senate is under the control of a coalition of Democratic and dissident Republican lawmakers and the House of Republicans. The state legislative council, which ordered the probe, is a bipartisan panel made up of members of both bodies.)

This story needs to be passed around and talked about quickly. She was FOR the bridge to nowhere before she was against it.
Here's what she told the Anchorage Daily News on October 22, 2006, during the race for the governor's seat (via Nexis):
Q: Would you continue state funding for the proposed Knik Arm and Gravina Island bridges?
Palin: Yes. I would like to see Alaska's infrastructure projects built sooner rather than later. The window is now - while our congressional delegation is in a strong position to assist.
http://blogs.tnr.com/tnr/blogs/the_plank/archive/2008/08/29/did-palin-really-fight-the-bridge-to-nowhere.aspx
August 29, 2008 6:50 PM | Reply | Permalink
You mean 22 months ago, before she held state-wide elected office?
August 29, 2008 7:01 PM | Reply | Permalink
She killed the bridge, but kept the money for other projects.
August 29, 2008 7:19 PM | Reply | Permalink
True, but she was fine with it before. Read the link.
August 29, 2008 7:50 PM | Reply | Permalink
Her saving grace might be that the allegations are true... "Yes, I used my position of power to help fire my ex brother-in-law who tasered his own stepson, my nephew. Wouldn't you do the same to protect your family?"
August 29, 2008 7:50 PM | Reply | Permalink
That is why I think people are too giddy over this situation, without knowing where the equities lie. She defeated an incumbent Governor of her own party so the party establishment and state government apparatus is likely working against her to a point. As I read this today, it is not a good argument against her.
Much better is how utterly unqualified she is to be Vice President and how repulsive and nasty the comparison of her to Senator Clinton is.
August 30, 2008 10:20 AM | Reply | Permalink
The best way to frame McCain's selection of Palin is simple: she is a "trophy pick." It goes to the heart of both McCain's strategy for winning the presidency and his view of women.
August 30, 2008 5:13 PM | Reply | Permalink
Yes, but it wasnt her brother-in-law she fired - it was his boss. Fired because he wouldn't do what she wanted as it was illegal!
August 31, 2008 2:06 PM | Reply | Permalink
I don't think abusing your position of power to avenge the event years after it happened will wash, even with the "Momma bear protecting her cubs" angle.
The story parallels the attorney firings and Monica Goodling hiring practices in some ways, so there is a kind of archetype to tap into. People have heard this story from the Bush administration repeatedly, and the "Do you want four more years of an abusive executive branch?" argument may resonate.
Having said that, I agree that there are enough unknowns that the factual and spun versions of the story may yet play out in her favor. I don't think it likely, but it's hard to tell in the odd political world.
August 31, 2008 9:29 PM | Reply | Permalink
What about the fact that she filed a law suit to prevent the Polar Bear from being placed on the endanger list for fear that it would infringe on oil drilling. This woman is really bad.
August 30, 2008 11:23 PM | Reply | Permalink
Thank you TPM, I hope the pundits will pick up on that one. Also, I am wondering what is the status on McPa to claim executive privileges?
August 29, 2008 7:01 PM | Reply | Permalink
It seems to me that even if Palin had absolutely no personal involvement in this mess, she will never be completely exonerated. Why in the world would McCain put his campaign at risk by picking her?
August 29, 2008 7:02 PM | Reply | Permalink
Because secretly, he's in love with Obama.
August 29, 2008 7:04 PM | Reply | Permalink
Certainly having the report delayed or even canceled is not beyond the skills of our Constitution-ass-wiping Republican administration.
August 29, 2008 7:03 PM | Reply | Permalink
"I was just your average hockey mom in Alaska," she said today.
Hmmm, probably not so average.
The base loves her and there are no recordings of her dissing McPain. And she was Miss Congeniality so that's a contrast with McGrump. And best of all she can pander to disaffected "Democratic" women with a grudge against the DNC.
So what if Palin has opposed everything Senator Clinton has stood for throughout her career.
August 29, 2008 7:04 PM | Reply | Permalink
The window is now - while our congressional delegation is in a strong position to assist. = Before Young and Stevens go to prison.
August 29, 2008 7:06 PM | Reply | Permalink
Did McWar thought of vetting her?
August 29, 2008 7:24 PM | Reply | Permalink
Jesus. A right-wing Evita a heartbeat away from stowing her nail polish in an Oval Office desk. How do you think that will sell in the hinterlands? This is all showbiz and sop for the PUMAs; she'll top the news cycle a few days and then we'll get back to the business at hand.
August 29, 2008 7:29 PM | Reply | Permalink
Yes - McCain is in love with Obama.
Here is a great parody of McCain celebrating his birthday and commiserating about Obama's acceptance speech last night.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1jFW14t8Pio
August 29, 2008 7:38 PM | Reply | Permalink
McCain should have done a simple web search and he would have found this local news report on the Palin TrooperGate Scandle.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6UojMnCgqVA
August 29, 2008 7:50 PM | Reply | Permalink
Wouldn't you think McCain's people would have vetted Palin nine ways from Sunday? Maybe all the dirt is out.
August 29, 2008 7:50 PM | Reply | Permalink
from WaPo interview today:
August 29, 2008 7:57 PM | Reply | Permalink
the WaPo blog on her is absolutely dripping with glad tidings. They don't miss a beat those bad boyz. Check it out.
http://voices.washingtonpost.com/the-trail/2008/08/29/palin_pick_leaves_bruised_feel.html
August 29, 2008 8:00 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hey, you don[t think that maybe it's a John Edwards thing---that maybe McCain and she--ya know. We never expected it from Edwards, and you've gotta say this impromptu "selection" without vetting is totally bizarre. Looks to me like she's got a lot of #hit on her shoes. Should be fun.
August 29, 2008 8:11 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hey, you don[t think that maybe it's a John Edwards thing---that maybe McCain and she--ya know. We never expected it from Edwards, and you've gotta say this impromptu "selection" without vetting is totally bizarre. Looks to me like she's got a lot of #hit on her shoes. Should be fun.
August 29, 2008 8:11 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hey, you don[t think that maybe it's a John Edwards thing---that maybe McCain and she--ya know. We never expected it from Edwards, and you've gotta say this impromptu "selection" without vetting is totally bizarre. Looks to me like she's got a lot of sh7t on her shoes. Should be fun.
August 29, 2008 8:12 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hey, you don[t think that maybe it's a John Edwards thing---that maybe McCain and she--ya know. We never expected it from Edwards, and you've gotta say this impromptu "selection" without vetting is totally bizarre. Looks to me like she's got a lot of sh7t on her shoes. Should be fun.
August 29, 2008 8:12 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hey, hate to be a cynic, but....do any of us really believe, after watching what's been happening the last 8 years, that there's a snowball's chance this isn't either delayed or just outright swept under the ice flow?
August 29, 2008 8:13 PM | Reply | Permalink
It probably will be swept under the rug but the story about it is already getting reported by the MSM.
August 29, 2008 8:43 PM | Reply | Permalink
**Was the trooper arrested for tasering the ten year old or was that an allegation made after they divorce papers were filed?
August 29, 2008 8:42 PM | Reply | Permalink
after - the kid, believe it or not, thought it was cool and asked to be tazed. The dad put it on its lowest settings.
August 29, 2008 11:12 PM | Reply | Permalink
The whole fucking crew are mutants. This is like Twin Peaks.
August 30, 2008 5:35 PM | Reply | Permalink
"McCain should have done a simple web search and he would have found this local news report on the Palin TrooperGate Scandle."
If you can't use a computer, you can't do a web search.
August 29, 2008 9:08 PM | Reply | Permalink
I love how the Democrats have effectively and subliminally brought McCains age and health fully into the debate with him picking Palin. Notice how they keep saying "a heartbeat away from the presidency" when questioning her experience.
August 29, 2008 9:13 PM | Reply | Permalink
This might be a good opportunity for Obama to put up an ad in response to McCain's "Congratulations Barak" ad of yesterday. In this case Obama should smile and say, congratulations on your Veep pick, John. An excellent choice."
Frankly, if McCain was going to go the bimbo route, he should have held out for Harriet Miers.
August 29, 2008 9:17 PM | Reply | Permalink
I don't understand why all the talking heads are referring to this "Hail Mary" pass as a BOLD one. Maybe I don't know football well enough, but I always thought you threw a Hail Mary pass when you're DESPERATE, not when you're trying to be bold.
August 29, 2008 9:28 PM | Reply | Permalink
I love the photo that the crew picked to illustrate the teaser on the main page of TPM. I knew I had seen her before. That photo reminds me. It was in a movie I hate to admit I actually paid to see, but the scenes that followed almost made it worth the ticket price. I'm sure UTube will have bits of the film available soon - no, wait - UTube doesn't allow porn do they?
August 29, 2008 9:39 PM | Reply | Permalink
Makes sense. McCain wants to double down on Bush the 3rd term- qualities.
August 29, 2008 9:41 PM | Reply | Permalink
Election eve trouble? Any bets on whether she'll last through next week?
August 29, 2008 9:47 PM | Reply | Permalink
Two more oil people in the white house?
OMG
and this case will get paid off mark my words
then she says her husband is a fisherman, but what him working for BP...Palin's husband, Todd Palin,[80] works for the energy corporation BP at an oil field on Alaska's North Slope[81] and works as a fisherman in his hometown in the summers
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sarah_Palin#Family_and_personal_life
She admits that she used marijuana at a time when the state had legalized possession of small amounts (though possession was still illegal under federal law). She says that she did not like it and does not smoke it now, and she does not support legalizing marijuana, worrying about the message it would send to her kids
State Senate President Lyda Green, a Republican who has often feuded with Palin, remarked, "She's not prepared to be governor. How can she be prepared to be vice president or president?"
Palin, when asked about Senator Clinton's complaints regarding her coverage by the press, said "that doesn't do us any good, women in politics, women in general, wanting to progress this country...when I hear a statement like that from from any woman, I think that there is a perceived whine."
It was alot of firing and people getting kick in and out of office up there? All I can say is DUCK!
This is way over my head...
McCain Just Doesn't Get It...If anything was to happen to him say a week into office, what happens to Troops,this is a poor VERY POOR SHOW OF RESPECT TO OUR TROOPS it's a ashame we cant start a petition.
August 29, 2008 9:58 PM | Reply | Permalink
Is it just me or does Palin look like Tina Fey trying to act like a VP Candidate? It just goes to show you how much of a joke the McBush campaign is. What a horrible pick. Kay Bailey Hutchinson would have been formidable, not Ms. Alaska.
August 29, 2008 10:17 PM | Reply | Permalink
Is it just me or does Palin look like Tina Fey trying to act like a VP Candidate? It just goes to show you how much of a joke the McBush campaign is. What a horrible pick. Kay Bailey Hutchinson would have been formidable, not Ms. Alaska.
August 29, 2008 10:17 PM | Reply | Permalink
Daw you have it backwards. This is a case of a vice presidential candidate trying to look and act like Tina Fey.
August 29, 2008 10:42 PM | Reply | Permalink
I don't know . . . I'm reading all these comments. I'm just . . . this whole choice is weird. It feels like he kind of lost it, really. Like he got so mad at the Rovies for not letting him have Liebchenmann that he did a McCain tantrum and . . . lobbed a big FU to 'em. I'm disturbed, just a bit. It seems pathologically fraught.
August 29, 2008 11:03 PM | Reply | Permalink
Any thoughts that this could be a devious head-fake by McCain & Co.?
McCain selects Palin and then, after a fire-storm of controversy, throws her under the bus, and makes a new selection.
Far-fetched, yes.
But 1) His second pick will look stellar by comparison and the "change" will boost his campaign, 2) If he can bait the Democrats into attacking Palin, he can blame her failure on the Dems (who robbed Hillary and now destroyed Palin), 3) While Palin might be a terrible choice for VP, the announcement sure drew attention away from Obama and the Democratic Convention, 4) McCain shows the Right-wing Republicans that he wants to cater to their demands for a true conservative, but "unfortunately" she doesn't work out and he has to pick his second favorite.
August 29, 2008 11:06 PM | Reply | Permalink
After all, it worked so well for George McGovern picking Tom Eagleton.
August 30, 2008 11:16 AM | Reply | Permalink
After all, it worked so well for George McGovern picking Tom Eagleton.
August 30, 2008 11:19 AM | Reply | Permalink
After all, it worked so well for George McGovern picking Tom Eagleton.
August 30, 2008 11:23 AM | Reply | Permalink
I think you may be right. I saw the whole McCain sideshow as a cynical attempt to derail conversation away from answering issues brought up by the Democrats. The first half the day was spent leaking fake Veep picks to talking heads build up the hype. Then the "Breaking News" announcement of Palin being picked as McCain's Veep. Followed by the press conference as a way to try to suck the oxygen out of the news cycle, and kill the buzz about Obama's speech the night before.
No wonder McCain will not tell the press the definition of honor.
August 30, 2008 6:17 PM | Reply | Permalink
I can't imagine any benefit that would outweigh the cost of reversing the selection. Changing the running mate now admits poor judgment on McCain's part, and a poor organization supporting him. The gut reaction is "Is this how he's going to run the country? This sloppy?" If she has to leave the ticket, it will be for some other (manufactured) reason.
August 31, 2008 9:47 PM | Reply | Permalink
"the announcement sure drew attention away from Obama and the
Democratic Convention" -- I don't know, Mishima. I've heard that comment on the air three times tonight. But each time I hear it, it occurs to me that the speaker is referencing the Dem Convention, AND suggesting that McSame's primary justification is to steal a few days of attention from Obama-Biden. Seems like John might be calling attention to the convention by this transparently calculated political move.
August 29, 2008 11:23 PM | Reply | Permalink
It's my opinion that this choice is purely reactionary. The GOP was clearly on its heels and needed to stem the further damage that would have come from a day of coverage of Obama's speech. In that sense this choice is already a success, I don't think it would've been unreasonable that McCain would've been 10 pts behind nationally.
On the other hand I don't know where they're gonna go from here. It seems to me the less she does from here on our the better for McCain
Strategy
August 29, 2008 11:24 PM | Reply | Permalink
Here's an interesting perspective on Governor Palin from an Alaska resident: Mudflats Blog
I thought it was a very interesting and concise view on her governorship.
August 29, 2008 11:51 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'm not a lawyer. However, I've done some reading and research on police disciplinary boards, and Palin's behavior sounds fishy. Josh et al, it would really behoove you to explain the nitty gritty details of how disciplinary boards work.
My understanding of police procedures is that state laws create a procedure by which police discipline is handled internally. Generally, these proceedings are done in confidence, and average citizens don't know what happens. The police board will hear a charge, and if the charge is found to be true, then discipline is issued. Under the union rules and laws, there are safeguards to ensure that the cops get some appeals.
It sounds like Palin was leaning on the officer to issue harsh discipline on her ex-brother in law even though the board had already disciplined him. I'm not sure about the legal implications, but that seems troubling for a few reasons. Ordinary citizens wouldn't get that access to officers nor to the proceeding. But a governor would. Besides that, as a matter of due process, it is patently unfair to punish someone who has already punished.
The brother in law sounds like a jerk, but Palin sounds pretty petty, if not abusive of her office.
August 30, 2008 12:13 AM | Reply | Permalink
On CNN tonight it was pointed out that McCain had met his new VP candidate exactly once before picking her. Could it be that he just forgot what he was picking her for? She does have a degree of attractiveness, especially to old codgers like John and me. We are the same age, by the way.
Much more probable is that McCain had nothing to do with picking her. This looks a lot more like a complicated Rove move to me. And, I agree with Mishima that this is most likely a "head fake". The real candidate is likely to be so obnoxious, so flawed, so unpopular, but so amenable to being manipulated, that Rove didn't dare put that candidate's name out there cold.
August 30, 2008 12:18 AM | Reply | Permalink
I like the Tina Fey link but you must consider the Mary Ann connection. Now that is something to consider.
See the story here:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=77AQHYWzGFQ
August 30, 2008 12:24 AM | Reply | Permalink
man, McCain shoulda gone with Michele Bachmann. She's cute and a fundie nutcase too! MN has more EVs. Her "husband" is a gay "fixer." what the hell happened??
oh, wait, she's psychotic, tho. nevermind
August 30, 2008 12:54 AM | Reply | Permalink
Curt,
Do you really believe the PUMAs are legit? I think they are financed completely by the Republicans. They were never for Hillary, it's a sham. I saw one of the frauds on Larry King tonight. She got her talking points straight from the RNC. Why isn't the media covering this?
Rob
August 30, 2008 1:24 AM | Reply | Permalink
The president always has the upper hand in Supreme Court appointments
We all know the next president will nominate 2 and possible 3 Supreme Court justices.
Even with a democratic congress, the president has the advantage because the president chooses who comes before the confirmation committee. Sure a democratic congress might be able block the most extreme justices but a justice does not have to be extreme to be dangerous.
Roe v Wade and other womens rights is one justice away from being overturned
The court is currently split, 4 conservative, 4 liberal and 1 moderate justice (Kennedy) providing the swing vote. Yes, Roe v Wade and other