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Scientsts Continue To Question Anthrax Investigation And Case Against Bruce Ivins
Scientists are stepping up among those most skeptical of the FBI's evidence implicating military microbiologist Bruce Ivins in the 2001 Anthrax attacks.
In yesterday's New York Times, microbiologist Gerry Andrews wrote an op-ed describing himself as "both disheartened and perplexed by the lack of physical evidence" against Ivins. Andrews worked with Ivins for 16 years and served as the chief of the bacteriology division at the military lab at Ft. Detrick in Maryland.
While the FBI last week released extensive documents with circumstantial evidence against Ivins, they provided almost no details of the scientific testing that underpinned the investigation.
While questions about scientific aspects of the case have been aired, they are often relegated to the bottom of news stories behind other aspects of the investigation, such as Ivins' emails around the time of the attacks or his mental problems.
Today Dr. Meryl Nass, a bioweapons expert, rattled off a long list of concerns about the case on her blog.
Editors at Science Blogs built on their initial skepticism by publishing an additional piece titled "Anthrax Case: Reasonable Doubt on the Science."
The American Society of Microbiologists, the primary professional association for the field, has not issued any public statements on the case, but is prepared to provide experts for testimony on Capitol Hill if asked, spokeswoman Barbara Hyde told TPMmuckraker.
Meanwhile, virtually nobody with a science background in microbiology has stepped forward in support of the FBI's conclusion that Ivins was likely the one and only person involved in the 2001 attacks, said Gigi Gronvall, a senior associate with the Center for Biosecurity at the University of Pittsburgh Medical Center.
"[Federal officials] came out and said they'd made the case, but they didn't actually present that science. So it really can't be evaluated," Gronvall said in an interview. "They talked about the genetic signature but they didn't elaborate on what that was. We want to know how they were able to determine that that one flask contained the parent train of what was sent out."





Has anyone heard anything regarding linking Ivins' handdwriting to the letters that were sent during the anthrax attacks? One would think that would be a crucial piece of evidence linking him to the attacks?
August 11, 2008 4:43 PM | Reply | Permalink
The indispensible Glenn Greenwald took time from this slow midsummer weekend to shoot in the ass the "time-off" timeline that supposedly hooks Ivins to the anthrax mailing with the fact he took off some time on the key day the letters were posted in 2001. Big surprise! There wasn't enough time for him to do it even if he could fly a Piper Cub.
August 11, 2008 4:45 PM | Reply | Permalink
Piper Cub? He couldn't have done it in an F-16! (At least not if you allow time for taxiing and landing.)
The problem with the leaked timeline (which I believe came from an unidentified source, not an "unidentified FBI source" which is interesting) is that it seems to be for the wrong day. Ivins took time off from about 10-4 or 5 pm on Sept 17, which would have allowed him just enough time to drive to the postbox, mail the letters and get back to the lab for his appointment. But if that were the case, the letters would have been postmarked September 17. They were in fact postmarked September 18, and the FBI's own affidavit states the window of opportunity to have been 5 pm the 17th to noon the 18th.
I don't think the FBI has commented on this story yet. It will be interesting to see if they do.
August 11, 2008 5:25 PM | Reply | Permalink
Editors at Science Blogs built on their initial skepticism by publishing an additional piece titled "Anthrax Case: Reasonable Doubt on the Science."
For the record, I am not sure you mean "editors" here. ScienceBlogs is a collection of essentially autonomous blogs that share a domain name, plus a mostly-automatic "best of" aggregator that lives on the front page. Effect Measure, a blog which has a public health focus and the host of both the articles you link, is just one of these blogs (one of the better ones on the site, mind you). It is rare that you can say the "editors" of ScienceBlogs did much of anything.
This said looking around on ScienceBlogs I see at least two other sciencebloggers (Mike the Mad Biologist and Aetiology, both excellent blogs with a public health focus) echoing Effect Measures' concerns, so may be reasonabel to say in this case that the Effect Measure posts legitimately speak on behalf of something like a site consensus.
August 11, 2008 5:05 PM | Reply | Permalink
The silence around handwriting and lie detector tests (he passed the one and only test the FBI gave him - early on in process, months before he became a suspect) speaks volumes. Greenwald and Marcy Wheeler exploded the "drove to Princeton in seven hours" timeline. Now the science is scrutinized and found lacking. The FBI's "case" appears to be collapsing on several fronts.
August 11, 2008 5:32 PM | Reply | Permalink
I still haven't heard the explanation of the two different kinds of delivery systems of anthrax. The first letters sent to the media were described as containing granular, multi-coloured spores, where the other letters contained finely aerosolized powder.
August 11, 2008 8:57 PM | Reply | Permalink
I would hope that the IG would be asked to look into this as well...
Don't get me started askin questions...
The circumstantial case against Irvins given what we know, frightens me that there could be any claim that this is "case closed."
Putting aside the appeal to the circus readers.. why was a crazy man allowed to work there, etc.. based on "facts" I find the FBI case lame at best.
From a vetting standpoint if the person admits and follows physician care, then mental health is not adjudicated against, NOR should it be.. that is not an indicator of disloyalty.
I think in retrospect even the hard science will eventually have the FBI asking again... whodunnit as they offer another settlement to the family of the dead scientist that committed suicide.
August 11, 2008 9:22 PM | Reply | Permalink