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Why Can't AIG Get Rid Of Its Non-Toxic Assets?

Don't say AIG never put anything in your wallets, taxpayers! The company just sold its Taiwanese securities unit to the Bank of East Asia, for something between ten and twenty million dollars, or between five and nine retention bonuses. Which brings us to the latest twist in the ongoing mystery of America's great black-scholes hole: why is it taking so long to sell off the pieces? Surely the rest of the company's units couldn't be as toxic as the one that had Joe Cassano in charge! Or could they? On Tuesday Ben Bernanke let it slip to Congress that had AIG Financial Products been allowed to bust, its bread-and-butter insurance businesses might have folded as well -- so buried were their balance sheets in lethal "products."

Cue the red tape gestapo!! But isn't insurance regulated? Says Institution Risk Analytics:

Speaking of poor fundamentals, when AIG released information about the amounts and recipients of roughly $100 billion of its government loans from September to December 2008, almost utterly unreported was the fact that the staid, boring, heavily regulated insurance businesses managed to run up losses on securities lending requiring $44 billion of government support.
By contrast, the free marketeers at Institutional Risk Analytics point out, the "credit derivatives widely blamed for bringing down the world's financial system" were only consuming $27 billion. "Could it be that the big story at AIG is the unsoundness of the insurer, not the credit default swaps?" they ask. "Why the misdirected coverage?"

We asked Bob Arvanitis, a former AIG executive and credit derivatives aficionado, whether the real scandal at AIG wasn't that everyone had managed to scapegoat the harmless credit default swap for the whole crisis simply because no one had heard of a credit default swap before a few billionaire hedge fund managers made way more billions loading up on them in anticipation the housing market would bust.

Not really, he said, in a nutshell. CDS and other such "products" brought down the company. Certainly AIG's insurance companies made some bad bets on real estate, Arvantis says, but they were scattered throughout subsidiaries with a combined trillion dollars in assets -- not the sort of things regulators would necessarily pick up. Which brings us to another problem the company faces selling its assets -- it's big. So big that at some point, in order to grow, the company needed to take on enough risk to sink the world economy; and after that happened, its once-profitable businesses leasing airplanes looked like less and less attractive acquisitions.


3 Comments

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What's with the broad 'tude, Moe? Seems a little intense for this column IMHO.

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I saw a picture of Moe Tkacik and she's smoking hot. And presumably a good journalist also. One of her articles had a lot of typos, but seems to have been a rushed posting. All of her articles have substance to them. I agree that using double exclamation marks ("!!") lends a distracting breathy feeling.

So, she's a smoking hot, good journalist who favors a breathy style of writing, but her stuff has substance. Good with me.

I tend to find the reader comments more interesting anyway. A lot of people, e.g., Mrs. Panstreppon, always deliver good stuff.

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Even if the "nontoxic" assets are clean, getting rid of them under the current conditions may not be that easy. Thanks to the downturn pretty much any business is going to be worth rather less than it was a few years ago (see the aircraft leasing operation for a prime example). And at the same time, credit crunch, so that even willing buyers have less money available to them. So prices are far less than AIG would need to dig itself out of its hole.

In a sense, this really is the kind of problem that Krugman says Geithner et al believe afflicts the mortgage-backed security world: assets that would have real value if only they could be held until conditions improve, but not enough liquidity to buy them at an appropriate price.

Which is just peachy: half of AIG is insolvent, and the other half is illiquid.

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