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Negroponte: Iraq NIE Coming "First Thing Next Week"

That long awaitied National Intelligence Estimate on Iraq is finally coming Monday, according to outgoing Director of National Intelligence John Negroponte.

He made the remark during this morning's hearing before the Senate Foreign Relations Committee.

The NIE, requested last July by Democrats, has been a long time coming. The situation came to a head a couple of weeks ago when an administration official reportedly explained in a closed door session of the Senate Judiciary Committee that intelligence officials were just too busy getting the plans together for President Bush's escalation of troops in Iraq to finish up the NIE.

Outraged, Democrats demanded that Negroponte finish up the estimate, which, they argued, should have been completed before Bush's announcement of a new strategy in Iraq, and not after.

So now the NIE is finally on its way. What will it say? The public -- and Congress -- will just have to wait until next week. Negroponte refused to characterize the findings of the estimate in any way.

A full transcript of Negroponte's remarks below the fold....

Transcript of Negroponte's remarks:

Well, I anticipate questions on Iraq – Senator, I prepared a few remarks here that I think are responsive to that, because I expect that we'll be transmitting the national intelligence estimate to Congress the first thing next week, by Monday at the latest. And of course I want the national intelligence estimate to speak for itself, but what I would like to say is that my belief that success in Iraq remains possible is based on my experience in dealing with Iraq as US ambassador to the UN and ambassador to Iraq and as director of national intelligence. And I don't think I'm at variance with the intelligence community in my judgments, and here's what I would say: Iraq is at a precarious juncture. That means the situation could deteriorate, but there are prospects for increasing stability in Iraq. And achieving increased stability will depend on several factors, among them the extent to which the Iraqi government and political leaders can establish effective national institutions that transcend sectarian or ethnic interests, and within this context a willingness of Iraqi security forces to pursue extremist elements of all kinds. It will also depend on the extent to which extremists, most notably al-Qaeda in Iraq, can be defeated in their attempts to foment inter-sectarian struggle between Shia and Sunnis. And lastly, the extent to which Iraq's neighbors stop the flow of militants and munitions across their borders. So I think that progress is possible in all these dimensions, laying the foundations for success.

Comments (20)

The Trucker Pundit wrote on January 30, 2007 11:21 AM:

Why in the bright blue Christian hell do we even CARE what the mather flogging thing says? Preznit Bush Jr. has already TOLD us what to think about this. He's the DECISION MAKER! And he ain't gonna let people what's investigated the actual situation on the ground over there influence what he THINKS about it. Now is he?

Richard L. Adlof wrote on January 30, 2007 11:46 AM:

I am guessing that good ol' "Drop'em outta the plane just to watch'em fly" Negroponte is going to give Congress a hand-written note that there are plenty more folk to kill.

Actually, I'm surprised the Death Czar can count that high . . .

It makes one weep.

DallasNE wrote on January 30, 2007 12:36 PM:

As politicized as the intelligence agencies have all become we can be sure that it will be a rubber stamp of support for the current Bush policy. It certainly will not be the first time Bush has fit the intelligence to the policy and I suspect it won't be the last.

And it is just this type of thinking that has landed us in the situation we face in Iraq today. The conclusions will be laughable.

What will this NIE say about Shia on Shia violence like we saw over the weekend? There is scant chance that the report will see this as a growing problem, which it is. Why then can the armchair quarterbacks create better intelligence estimates than our best and brightest in the halls of the intelligence agencies?

ohiomeister wrote on January 30, 2007 6:08 PM:

I anticipate them finishing it early, say by late Friday afternoon, Feb. 2.

Cheney's Press Secretary Cathie Martin explained why at the Libby trial: "Fewer people pay attention to it later on Friday," Martin testified. "And in our view, fewer people are paying attention on Saturday, when it's reported."

willis wrote on January 31, 2007 8:38 AM:

Wonder if the AEI had to vet it to suit Cheney.

Nellieh wrote on January 31, 2007 12:15 PM:

If this a**hole spent more time working instead of 3 hour lunches on the treadmill and in the sauna maybe some of this IMPORTANT s**t would get done. And isn't it just like these cretins to put the cart before the horse. THEY are running the country. Jesus Christ!

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