- Toxic
- Pretty Black and White
- Genuinely Hilarious
- Report: NAFTA-Gate Leaker Said Hillary's People Were Reassuring Canada, Too
- Clinton To Put Gravity Under Scrutiny
- Hillary Campaign "In The Red"
- Farrakhan's Support For Obama? Hugely Controversial. Hagee's Backing Of McCain? No Problem.
- TPMtv: Terrymania!
- More on Tuzla
- By Hook or By Crook
- : Raleigh, NC
- : 34
- : Progressive
- : Lies My Teacher Told Me, Lord of the Rings, American in the King Years
- : How long? Not long, because the arc of the moral universe is long, but it bends toward justice. - MLK
Obama nomination victory thread: 155 days to do something about the last 8 years
Obama has clinched the nomination according to the Associated Press. (not that we didn't already know it was over - but it's nice to make it official)Here's what I'd like you to do with this thread:1. Tell me what you're going to...more »
Posted on June 3, 2008 3:25 PM
What if? How the Democratic Party dodged a bullet this week
One of the things that kept occurring to me this Saturday during the RBC meeting was how fortunate the Democratic Party is right now. The RBC meeting of the DNC was uncomfortable in many ways, what with protesters inside and...more »
Posted on June 2, 2008 9:02 PM
Emails prove TPM bias for Clinton
A prominent blogger friend of mine sent me this email thread today - which conclusively demonstrates a pro-Hillary bias at TPM. (as many of us have suspected). My blogger friend says that a staff person at TPM forwarded this to him by mistake. Now the TPM...more »
Posted on May 30, 2008 1:21 AM
Why polls in May (even by Survey USA) can't be trusted
This post is inspired by a couple of others that I'd suggest you check out. First, I'd recommend TPM's Eric Kleefield's post on Obama's electoral map and his possible paths to the White House. Then I'd check out two posts over at Ben...more »
Posted on May 29, 2008 4:45 PM
Hillary's concession speech planned...early draft leaked
Not really. But when it is leaked, it's going to read something like this (except longer): "I concede. I'm proud of you and I'm proud of me. I like Obama, I really do. Obama's a good candidate. Vote for Obama."Obama people...more »
Posted on May 15, 2008 3:00 PM
The 95% white party and the decline of the once powerful GOP
These three GOP losses in red congressional districts have me thinking back to a Wall Street Journal article from last September.We've been talking so much about "demographic" splits in the Democratic electorate recently, it is worth remembering that at least...more »
Posted on May 14, 2008 5:33 PM
Weirdest, worst, and best moments from the primary campaign
Here's my little list of the weirdest, worst, and best moments of the campaign so far. Please add yours in the comments.Weirdest: The first things that pop into my head here include Mike Gravel's rock in a pond ad and...more »
Posted on May 12, 2008 11:07 PM
Top 5 tidbits and stories from North Carolina's primary
1. Women won: While Obama trounced Clinton at the top of the ticket, the day belonged in many ways to Democratic women. The Party's nominee for the Governor will be Bev Perdue, a long time legislator and the current Lt....more »
Posted on May 8, 2008 9:42 PM
How many words I can fit into the subject line for this post? Aren't you curious too? Is it 100? Or 1000? Could it be 10,000? Could it be 1,000,000? It seems like the title of this post can go on and on and on and on and on and on and on. This is really s
Long title. No story.Discuss amongst yourselves. (but do not talk about Dr. Genghis's shirt collar. That is off limits.)...more »
Posted on April 30, 2008 11:29 PM
New Clinton Endorsement Today: Me
Recently I read a TPM blog post that put the entire race in perspective and I had an "aha!" moment of enlightenment. The blog could be summarized like this: Hillary will win. Definitely. (I'm paraphrasing)As I drank my morning coffee it began...more »
Posted on April 29, 2008 1:00 PM
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THIS IS EXCELLENT NEWS!! FOR FISA!!
Posted at July 3, 2008 11:48 AM in response to FISA
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Remember that the only way to have an elected official representing you who agrees with ytour views 100% of the time is to run for and win an election.
Posted at July 2, 2008 12:32 PM in response to Why did I support Obama?? Oh yeah, I remember...
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Hey, look at that list of states!
Alaska?! North Dakota?! Wow - I guess fundraising is going well since the primary ended.
Posted at June 19, 2008 1:48 PM in response to Obama's First General Election Ad: I Love America
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I'm Barack Obama and do you see my shiny flag pin?
It's definitely a switch to a general election message. Doesn't exactly get me all excited, but it's a logical and probably effective message to start the general election.
Posted at June 19, 2008 1:16 PM in response to Obama's First General Election Ad: I Love America
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Kids, don't do drugs. Please.
Posted at June 18, 2008 9:57 PM in response to Obama: You Wanna Talk About 9/11? Well, Let's Talk About 9/11!
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I'm not an Obama supporter, but McCain just got his arse handed to him.
Posted at June 18, 2008 6:50 PM in response to Obama: You Wanna Talk About 9/11? Well, Let's Talk About 9/11!
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THanks. I did find some helpful info there. But I think basically no one can predict what will happen based on previous election results because having an African-American is totally new.
What is interesting is that we can predict the impact of say 10% increase in AA voter turnout in various states.
Posted at June 18, 2008 11:21 AM in response to Quinnipiac: Obama Ahead In Florida, Ohio And Pennsylvania
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Question for TPMers:
Has anyone read any articles or prognostications about what we should expect the voter turnout to be from African-Americans this year (other than jsut a "big")?
What is clear is that many pollsters are using 2004 turnout models to predict turnout in 2008. They may be right and often the predicted wave of new voters (often young) doesn't materialize to the degree to change an election. But I'm wondering if anyone has attempted to make some educated guesses about the increase in AA turnout this year? Any help?
Thanks, Yoda
Posted at June 18, 2008 9:52 AM in response to Quinnipiac: Obama Ahead In Florida, Ohio And Pennsylvania
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Whoo hoo!!*
*polling in June should be celebrated or mourned with the caveat that it's still freakin June. Nonetheless, I'm most excited here about Pennsylvania. I think as long as Obama holds onto MI, PA, MI, and WI he will win the White House because he's going to win in VA and CO.
Posted at June 18, 2008 9:38 AM in response to Quinnipiac: Obama Ahead In Florida, Ohio And Pennsylvania
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Here is Tim Russert asking McCain about his tax cut flip flop:
http://youtube.com/watch?v=dYsKiA3MyywMcCain has a painful minute or so to prepare for his response as Russert shows him past statements on Bush tax cuts. McCain's answer is weak - he jsut answers it as if there was no change in postiion at all. As if he didn't just watch himself say that he couldn't support tax cuts for the rich because they would mean budget deficits.
Posted at June 18, 2008 12:20 AM in response to The Strange History Of John McCain's Economic Theories
